Match Info

MLS

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium (Atlanta, GA)

Referee: Chapman A. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass, SiriusXM FC
World	Apple TV International


	Atlanta United		Nashville SC

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1	Watch
	3.35	3.35	2.18	Watch
	3.57	3.51	2.17
	3.25	3.54	2.16	Watch
	3.1	3.25	2.15
	3.45	3.55	2.18	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.35 ↑ (2.96)	3.45 ↑ (3.4)	2.16 ↓ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlanta United
28.4%

Draw
27.6%

Nashville SC
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.5%

27.5%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

26.2%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlanta United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlanta United than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30%	10%	60%

Atlanta United - Nashville SC Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Atlanta will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Nashville will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Hoyos L. (G) 55. Jacob T. 5. Gregersen S. 4. Mihaj E. 3. Baez E. 48. Sanchez C. 35. Fortune A. 8. Muyumba T. 59. Miranchuk Al. (C) 9. Latte Lath E. 88. Galarza M.	99. Schwake B. (G) 31. Najar A. 4. Palacios J. 3. Woledzi M. 2. Lovitz D. 7. Espinoza C. 16. Corcoran M. 20. Tagseth E. 37. Qasem A. 10. Mukhtar H. (C) 41. Madrigal W.
Substitutes
18. Amador P. 6. Berrocal J. 47. Edwards M. 2. Hernandez R. 42. Hibbert J. (G) 11. Lobjanidze S. 22. Picault F. 28. Reilly W. 30. Togashi C.	6. Acosta B. 27. Baker-Whiting R. 22. Bauer J. 5. Maher J. 14. Mohammed S. 19. Muyl A. 17. Pacius W. 1. Willis J. (G) 8. Yazbek P.
Coaches
Martino G.	Callaghan B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Muyumba T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
56', Madrigal W. ↓, Muyl A. ↑,
61', 0 - 1, Espinoza C. ⚽, Mukhtar H. (A),
66', Tagseth E. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
68', Baez E. ↓, Amador P. ↑,
68', Sanchez C. ↓, Picault F. ↑,
74', Fortune A. ↓, Lobjanidze S. ↑,
76', Hoyos L. 🟨,
82', Latte Lath E. ↓, Togashi C. ↑,
84', Najar A. ↓, Baker-Whiting R. ↑,
84', Qasem A. ↓, Mohammed S. ↑,
90+1', 0 - 2, Mohammed S. ⚽, Mukhtar H. (A), Espinoza C. (A2)

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 2.

Recent performances by Atlanta have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nashville is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Nashville may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Nashville will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Atlanta won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 22:23. (average 1.6:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlanta won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:7. (average 1.5:1.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Nashville SC - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlanta United
US Open Cup
15.04.26	Chattanooga - Atlanta United	1:3 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Chicago Fire - Atlanta United	1:0 ✺
04.04.26	Atlanta United - Columbus Crew	1:3 ✺
21.03.26	Atlanta United - DC United	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Atlanta United - Philadelphia Union	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLLTW
- Nashville SC
CONCACAF Champions Cup
14.04.26	Club América - Nashville SC	0:1 ✺
MLS
11.04.26	Charlotte - Nashville SC	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
07.04.26	Nashville SC - Club América	0:0 ✺
MLS
04.04.26	Chicago Fire - Nashville SC	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nashville SC - Orlando City	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWTLW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
30.08.25	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	0:1
03.05.25	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	1:1
14.09.24	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	0:2
18.05.24	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	1:1
26.08.23	Atlanta United - Nashville SC	4:0
29.04.23	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	3:1
21.05.22	Nashville SC - Atlanta United	2:2

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