Match Info

MLS

Date: 28 February 2026, Saturday

Location: Children's Mercy Park (Kansas City, KS)

Referee: Demianchuk S. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	Apple TV International


	Sporting Kansas City		Columbus Crew

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.61	Watch
	3.6	3.9	1.85
	4.45	4.45	1.68	Watch
	4.59	4.47	1.68
	4.38	4.54	1.66	Watch
	4.2	4	1.65
	4.52	4.47	1.71	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.32 ↑ (3.6)	4.29 ↑ (4.14)	1.69 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Kansas City
21.9%

Draw
22.1%

Columbus Crew
56%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.3%

22.9%

50.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Kansas City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Columbus Crew has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Columbus Crew's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	0%	83.3%

Sporting Kansas City - Columbus Crew Predictions

Users Predictions: Columbus Crew will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Columbus Crew will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pulskamp J. (G) 2. James I. 23. Bartlow E. 28. Meyer W. 99. Reid J. 93. Suleymanov S. 16. Bartlett J. 6. Garcia M. 8. Davis J. 9. Joveljic D. 11. Harris C.	28. Schulte P. (G) 2. Herrera A. 31. Moreira S. 4. Camacho R. 18. Amundsen M. 16. Habroune T. 25. Zawadzki S. 27. Arfsten M. 8. Gazdag D. 9. Abou Ali W. 10. Rossi D.
Substitutes
17. Afrifa S. 20. Agyabeng K. 19. Calheira T. 30. Cleveland S. (G) 88. Donovan S. 61. Loyo Reynaga Z. 15. Miller J. 14. Tschantret M.	17. Bangoura S. 22. Brown T. 24. Bush E. (G) 21. Cheberko Y. 30. Picard H. 45. Presthus O. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A. 19. Thiare J.
Coaches
Wicky R.	Rydstrom H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
15', Herrera A. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Abou Ali W. ⚽,
44', Pulskamp J. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Joveljic D. ⚽, Davis J. (A), Harris C. (A2)
64', Gazdag D. ↓, Picard H. ↑,
64', Habroune T. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
72', 2 - 1, Joveljic D. ⚽,
79', Zawadzki S. 🟨,
81', Harris C. ↓, Afrifa S. ↑,
81', Moreira S. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
82', 2 - 2, Rossi D. ⚽,
87', Abou Ali W. (Penalty Awarded),
90', Bartlett J. ↓, Agyabeng K. ↑,
90+1', Suleymanov S. ↓, Calheira T. ↑,
90+1', James I. ↓, Miller J. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 1.

Kansas City may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Columbus could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Kansas City won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 22:26. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kansas City won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).

Outrights of MLS for now

Columbus Crew: 0.69% Sporting Kansas City: 0.53%

Last Results with these Odds

Sporting Kansas City - the odds 3.6 are the expected chance of winning is 26.28%, but this team recently wins 36% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Kansas City
MLS
21.02.26	San Jose Earthquakes - Sporting Kansas City	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
07.02.26	Sporting Kansas City - Minnesota United	0:3 ✺
MLS
18.10.25	Sporting Kansas City - Houston Dynamo	0:0 ✺
04.10.25	Minnesota United - Sporting Kansas City	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTL
- Columbus Crew
MLS
21.02.26	Portland Timbers - Columbus Crew	3:2 ✺
08.11.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	2:1 ✺
02.11.25	Columbus Crew - Cincinnati	4:0 ✺
27.10.25	Cincinnati - Columbus Crew	1:0 ✺
18.10.25	Columbus Crew - New York Red Bulls	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF League Cup
09.08.24	Columbus Crew - Sporting Kansas City	4:0
MLS
22.06.24	Columbus Crew - Sporting Kansas City	4:0
23.04.22	Sporting Kansas City - Columbus Crew	0:0
Club Friendly
12.02.20	Columbus Crew - Sporting Kansas City	2:0
MLS
23.06.19	Columbus Crew - Sporting Kansas City	0:1
27.05.18	Sporting Kansas City - Columbus Crew	0:0
10.09.17	Columbus Crew - Sporting Kansas City	1:1

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