Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 18 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Dignity Health Sports Park (Carson, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


World	Onefootball


	Ventura County		Austin II

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.45	3.5	2.52	Watch
	2.46	3.68	2.5
	2.46	3.77	2.51	Watch
	2.4	3.3	2.45
	2.4	3.45	2.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↓ (2.45)	3.54 ↓ (3.75)	2.49 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ventura County
37.5%

Draw
25.8%

Austin II
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

24.8%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.6%

24.4%

36.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Austin II has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Ventura County - Austin II Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Conlon S. (G) 73. Martinez E. 64. Pepe 60. Hernandez S. (C) 88. Vanney M. 66. Tsakiris M. 47. Vilamitjana A. 76. Elgersma T. 45. Garcia V. 57. Placias J. 49. Vanney D.	13. Lauta E. (G) 2. Thomas R. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 18. Cayelli P. 24. Hot K. 6. Barro D. 20. Badawiya M. 10. Alastuey J. (C) 22. Sall I. 32. Burton M.
Substitutes
93. Aina O. (G) 87. Arnold G. 50. Dalgado R. 61. Gozdieski C. 92. Luna I. 42. Rhodes J. (G)	7. Abarca D. 31. Aristizabal N. (G) 23. Che N. 14. Ciesla D. 9. Danciutiu V. 21. Dobrijevic S. 3. Dobruna D. 8. Gonzalez A. 16. Ruszel M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Elgersma T. ⚽, Placias J. (A),
23', Cayelli P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
56', Badawiya M. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
56', Hot K. ↓, Gonzalez A. ↑,
57', Burton M. ↓, Dobrijevic S. ↑,
57', Tsakiris M. ↓, Arnold G. ↑,
60', 1 - 1, Abarca D. ⚽, Cayelli P. (A),
64', Alastuey J. (Penalty Awarded),
68', Sall I. ↓, Danciutiu V. ↑,
69', Thomas R. 🟨,
75', Pepe ↓, Dalgado R. ↑,
80', Barro D. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
88', Garcia V. ↓, Luna I. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Arnold G. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Gonzalez A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Luna I. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Abarca D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Vanney D. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Alastuey J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Vilamitjana A. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

Ventura County is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Austin II has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Austin II has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ventura County won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.8:1.8).

Including home match between the teams, Ventura County won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ventura County FC
MLS Next Pro
12.04.26	Ventura County - Real Monarchs	2:0 ✺
29.03.26	Tacoma Defiance - Ventura County	0:1 ✺
23.03.26	Portland Timbers 2 - Ventura County	0:1 penalties ✺
15.03.26	Ventura County - St. Louis City 2	2:3 ✺
08.03.26	Austin II - Ventura County	2:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 WWWLW
- Austin FC II
MLS Next Pro
12.04.26	Austin II - Houston Dynamo 2	1:2 penalties ✺
22.03.26	Tacoma Defiance - Austin II	0:1 ✺
15.03.26	Austin II - North Texas	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Austin II - Ventura County	2:3 penalties ✺
01.03.26	Austin II - Minnesota United 2	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
08.03.26	Austin II - Ventura County	2:3 penalties
22.08.25	Austin II - Ventura County	2:1
13.05.25	Ventura County - Austin II	0:1
26.04.24	Austin II - Ventura County	2:3 penalties

Ventura County - Austin II: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide