The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Austin II 42.8%
Draw 26.1%
St. Louis City 2 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
33.9%
26.4%
39.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
32.3%
27.7%
41.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Austin II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Austin II's performance.
St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and St. Louis City 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Austin II than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Austin II that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+10.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that St. Louis City 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Austin II - St. Louis City 2 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Lauta E. (G) 14. Ciesla D. 4. Watt E. 5. Bery J. 18. Cayelli P. 10. Alastuey J. 6. Barro D. 38. Torres E. 32. Burton M. 9. Danciutiu V. 37. Feliciano L.
34. Welsh C. (G) 53. Marion S. 41. Pearson C. (C) 98. De Gannes A. 48. Lynch R. 88. McDonald P. 44. Wagoner J. 43. Paris S. 85. Ota Y. 42. Ault P. 62. Barclay J.
Substitutes
7. Abarca D. 23. Che N. 21. Dobrijevic S. 3. Dobruna D. 40. Flynn L. (G) 24. Hot K. 16. Ruszel M. 22. Sall I.
79. Chavez E. 83. Cornelius L. 54. Gbadehan A. 68. Jundt A. 50. Martinez N. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Feliciano L. ⚽,
19', 2 - 0, Alastuey J. ⚽,
36', Wagoner J. 🟨,
40', Marion S. 🟨,
41', Feliciano L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Barclay J. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
47', De Gannes A. ↓, Chavez E. ↑,
52', 2 - 1, Ota Y. ⚽, Lynch R. (A),
58', Feliciano L. ↓, Dobrijevic S. ↑,
58', Alastuey J. ↓, Hot K. ↑,
58', Danciutiu V. ↓, Sall I. ↑,
63', McDonald P. 🟨,
69', Paris S. 🟨,
70', Paris S. ↓, Gbadehan A. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Hot K. ⚽,
77', Ault P. ↓, Jundt A. ↑,
79', 4 - 1, Dobrijevic S. ⚽,
81', Burton M. ↓, Abarca D. ↑,
84', Torres E. ↓, Ruszel M. ↑,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 0.
Austin II is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
St. Louis City 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
St. Louis City 2 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Austin II won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Austin II won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).
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Lauta E. (G) 
Ciesla D. 
Bery J. 
Alastuey J. 
Barro D. 
Danciutiu V. 
Pearson C. (C) 
De Gannes A. 
Paris S. 
Ota Y. 
Dobruna D. 
Sall I. 
Gbadehan A. 
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