Match Info

Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 9

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sporting Lisbon B		Atlético CP

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3
	2.16	3.05	3.2
	2.31	3.1	3.24
	2.22	2.99	3.19
	2.16	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.19)	3.04 ↑ (3)	3.17 ↓ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
41.3%

Draw
29.9%

Atlético CP
28.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

30.3%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

31.9%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atlético CP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético CP than the current prediction. (-2%)

Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Diego Callai (G) 45. Moreira D. 43. Muniz J. 53. Dias R. 55. Silva J. 81. Arreiol H. 88. Mendonca M. 77. Besugo R. 78. Couto M. 67. Anjos L. 90. Moreira A.	1. Ribeiro L. (G) 31. Paulinho (C) 4. Henriques D. 20. Gonzalez F. 29. Dinamite D. 28. Cruz H. 10. Caleb 60. Marques R. 14. Joaozinho 17. Silva D. 11. Franco E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', Arreiol H. 🟨,
29', Dinamite D. 🟨,
32', Paulinho 🟨,
33', Gonzalez F. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Mendonca M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Silva D. ↓, Nicolas Souza ↑,
58', Arreiol H. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
63', Joaozinho ↓, Barandas M. ↑,
70', Cruz H. ↓, Pipo ↑,
72', Moreira A. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
73', Mendonca M. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
73', 1 - 1, Nicolas Souza ⚽,
80', Nicolas Souza 🟨,
83', Silva J. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
84', Anjos L. ↓, Blopa S. ↑,
86', Gonzalez F. ↓, Talison ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Couto M. ⚽,
90+5', Moreira D. 🟨,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play in the exciting match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting B won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Recently Sporting B have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Sporting B won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13:13 (average 1.1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting B won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7:3 (average 1.4:0.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
Portuguese Liga 3
05.04.25	Lusitânia - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Amarante - Sporting Lisbon B	0:1 ✺
English Premier League International Cup
17.03.25	Fulham U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	2:1 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
15.03.25	Sporting Lisbon B - Fafe	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Varzim - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 LWLTT
- Atlético CP
Portuguese Liga 3
05.04.25	Atlético CP - Belenenses	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	1 Dezembro - Atlético CP	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Atlético CP - Lusitânia	0:0 ✺
09.03.25	Amarante - Atlético CP	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Atlético CP - Fafe	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese Liga 3
16.02.25	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	0:0
06.12.24	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	3:0
25.08.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	0:1
08.12.23	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	2:1
26.08.23	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	0:2
Portuguese Liga 2
09.03.16	Atlético CP - Sporting Lisbon B	1:3
18.10.15	Sporting Lisbon B - Atlético CP	0:1

Upcoming Matches