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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon B 40.4%
Draw 29.5%
Lusitânia 30.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.4%
33.8%
22.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.8%
35.7%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Lusitânia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Lusitânia's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Lusitânia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Sporting Lisbon B - Lusitânia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Silva F. (G) 76. Rodrigues R. 73. Felicissimo E. 95. Taibo Dominguez L. 50. Dias R. 96. Justo S. 40. Tanlongo M. (C) 78. Couto M. 88. Bidu 47. Sanha M. 9. Nel R.
29. Araujo B. (G) 24. Ricardinho 22. Faria B. 42. Guilherme 52. Machado F. 12. Arsenio (C) 20. Paulo D. 27. Fabinho 19. Mandiang S. 17. Santos J. 21. Paulite
Substitutes
66. Alves M. 83. Bafdili Z. 63. Camacho R. 87. Cardoso P. 57. Grombahi C. 62. Ivanildo 59. Kaua Oliveira 86. Lee A. 85. Mota R. 74. Pires G. (G) 82. Silva G. 8. Simoes J.
7. Borges M. 60. Danny 90. da Silva Moreira I. A. 80. Manel 6. Montez A. 23. Ribeiro M. (G) 16. Rocha L. 9. Silva J. 5. Silverio 1. Souza G. (G) 11. Tablante M. 88. Teixeira M.
Coaches
Fernandes T.
Silva R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', Faria B. 🟨,
26', 1 - 0, Nel R. ⚽, Sanha M. (A),
41', Dias R. 🟨,
42', 1 - 1, Guilherme ⚽, Arsenio (A),
45+2', Paulo D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Felicissimo E. ↓, Kaua Oliveira ↑,
61', Fabinho ↓, Teixeira M. ↑,
61', Paulite ↓, Borges M. ↑,
62', Bidu ↓, Cardoso P. ↑,
62', Sanha M. ↓, Grombahi C. ↑,
63', Justo S. ↓, Simoes J. ↑,
68', Mandiang S. 🟨,
69', Guilherme ↓, Silverio ↑,
76', Nel R. 🟨,
83', Santos J. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
83', Mandiang S. ↓, Danny ↑,
84', Tanlongo M. ↓, Bafdili Z. ↑,
90+1', 1 - 2, Silva J. ⚽,
Preview
One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
Sporting B is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lusitânia is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Sporting B may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Sporting B will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sporting B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:3. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Sporting B won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).
Portugal
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Silva F. (G) 
Taibo Dominguez L. 
Tanlongo M. (C) 
Bidu 
Sanha M. 
Bafdili Z. 
Cardoso P. 
Grombahi C. 
Ivanildo 
Tablante M. 
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