The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon B 35.7%
Draw 28%
Marítimo 36.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.9%
28.1%
29%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.8%
26.9%
27.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting Lisbon B's form might have worsened.
Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marítimo's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (+9.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting Lisbon B, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marítimo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
80%
20%
Sporting Lisbon B - Marítimo Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Marítimo will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 80%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.25 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
41. Diego Callai (G) 50. Dias R. 43. Muniz J. 45. Moreira D. (C) 70. Blopa S. 96. Justo S. 73. Felicissimo E. 55. Silva J. 78. Couto M. 28. Ribeiro R. 58. Goncalves F.
12. Samu (G) 17. Xavi Grande 5. Madsen N. 44. Correia R. (C) 23. Henrique P. 14. Raphael Guzzo 18. Danilovic V. 8. Cruz M. 21. Bouzaidi S. 11. Guedes A. 10. Tejon M.
Substitutes
67. Anjos L. 77. Besugo R. 87. Cardoso P. 59. Kaua Oliveira 88. Mendonca M. 90. Nel R. 74. Pires G. (G) 46. Rafael Pontelo 82. Silva G.
6. Andrade R. 3. Butzke A. 28. Carlos Daniel 24. Da Rocha Borges R. 9. Elis A. 20. Gomes Aguiar F. T. 98. Ibrahima 4. Santos Junior E. A. 1. Tabuaco G. (G)
Coaches
Joao Giao
Emanuel Soares Matos V.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Justo S. 🟨,
31', Raphael Guzzo 🟨,
35', Bouzaidi S. 🟨,
44', Couto M. 🟨,
44', Xavi Grande 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
53', Silva J. 🟨,
64', Ribeiro R. ↓, Nel R. ↑,
67', Guedes A. ↓, Butzke A. ↑,
67', Danilovic V. ↓, Ibrahima ↑,
71', Justo S. ↓, Besugo R. ↑,
71', Goncalves F. ↓, Mendonca M. ↑,
75', Madsen N. 🟨,
76', Cruz M. ↓, Carlos Daniel ↑,
79', Felicissimo E. 🟥,
86', 0 - 1, Bouzaidi S. ⚽,
87', Silva J. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
87', Couto M. ↓, Cardoso P. ↑,
90', Bouzaidi S. ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,
90', Xavi Grande ↓, Andrade R. ↑,
90+4', Tabuaco G. 🟨,
90+5', Besugo R. 🟨,
90+6', Andrade R. 🟨,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )).
In recent matches, Sporting B has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Marítimo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Marítimo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
Portugal
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Diego Callai (G) 
Dias R. 
Moreira D. (C) 
Xavi Grande 
Madsen N. 
Danilovic V. 
Bouzaidi S. 
Elis A. 
Ibrahima 
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