Match Info

PORTUGAL: Liga 3 - Round 9

Date: 28 October 2024, Monday

Location: CGD Stadium Aurelio Pereira (Alcochete)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Canal 11


	Sporting Lisbon B		SC Lusitânia

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.75	5
	1.53	3.75	5.5
	1.56	3.93	6.13
	1.58	3.84	5.83	Watch
	1.5	3.75	5.8
	1.51	3.78	5.81
	1.53	3.75	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.71)	3.79 ↑ (3.6)	5.65 ↑ (4.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon B
59.7%

Draw
24.1%

SC Lusitânia
16.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

25.9%

19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.9%

18.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon B's performance.

SC Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon B than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for SC Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Sporting Lisbon B - SC Lusitânia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Silva F. (G) 66. Alves M. 81. Arreiol H. 77. Besugo R. 89. Cardoso N. 78. Couto M. 73. Felicissimo E. 96. Justo S. 88. Mendonca M. (C) 82. Silva G. 95. Taibo Dominguez L.	1. Monteiro J. (G) 52. Azevedo T. 15. Breno T. 2. Derick 18. do Rio P. (C) 3. Fontes B. 50. Gunjo J. 70. Mosquera D. 10. Rafa Tche 77. Sidney C. 9. Souza N.
Substitutes
67. Anjos L. 49. Barroso L. 50. Brito A. 80. Gomes L. 58. Goncalves F. 79. Marques R. 84. Migueis P. (G) 71. Santos D. 44. Silva P.	42. Biai B. 48. Cabral G. 93. Ferrara E. 17. Isabelinha 27. Legatheaux A. 11. Nazarit J. E. 51. Rafinha 72. Sa D. (G) 19. Semedo D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Mosquera D. 🟨,
18', Mosquera D. ↓, Isabelinha ↑,
20', Cardoso N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cardoso N. ↓, Santos D. ↑,
64', Justo S. ↓, Gomes L. ↑,
64', Silva G. ↓, Anjos L. ↑,
69', Sidney C. ↓, Cabral G. ↑,
69', Souza N. ↓, Legatheaux A. ↑,
78', Azevedo T. ↓, Nazarit J. E. ↑,
78', do Rio P. ↓, Rafinha ↑,
83', Felicissimo E. ↓, Barroso L. ↑,
83', Mendonca M. ↓, Goncalves F. ↑,
84', Taibo Dominguez L. 🟨,
90+5', Besugo R. 🟨,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Liga 3 (Relegation Group: )).

Sporting Lisbon B is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches SC Lusitânia is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sporting Lisbon B could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sporting Lisbon B is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sporting Lisbon B to win the game is with odds 1.54.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon B
English Premier League International Cup
18.10.24	Crystal Palace U21 - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
06.10.24	Belenenses - Sporting Lisbon B	1:1 ✺
27.09.24	Sporting Lisbon B - 1 Dezembro	1:1 ✺
13.09.24	Caldas - Sporting Lisbon B	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Sporting Lisbon B - Académica Coimbra	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.4 WTTWW
- SC Lusitânia
Taça de Portugal
21.10.24	Penafiel - SC Lusitânia	2:3 ET ✺
Portuguese Liga 3
13.10.24	Atlético CP - SC Lusitânia	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	SC Lusitânia - União de Santarém	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Oliveira Hospital - SC Lusitânia	1:1 ✺
Taça de Portugal
22.09.24	SC Lusitânia - Régua	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 32.8 WLLTW

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