Match Info

NORTH & CENTRAL AMERICA: CONCACAF CENTRAL AMERICAN CUP - ROUND 4

Date: 24 August 2023, Thursday


	Sporting San Miguelito		Alajuelense

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.82
	4.13	3.14	1.67
	4.55	3.48	1.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.16 ↑ (3.2)	3.27 ↑ (3.13)	1.75 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting San Miguelito
21.5%

Draw
27.3%

Alajuelense
51.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.1%

29.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

28.7%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting San Miguelito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting San Miguelito's form might have worsened.

Alajuelense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alajuelense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting San Miguelito, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alajuelense than the current prediction. (-8.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alajuelense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sporting San Miguelito - Alajuelense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Sporting San Miguelito is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Alajuelense in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting San Miguelito could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Alajuelense will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sporting San Miguelito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting San Miguelito won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting San Miguelito
Liga Panamena de Futbol
20.08.23	Sporting San Miguelito - Potros del Este	0:1 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
16.08.23	Sporting San Miguelito - Verdes	4:0 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
13.08.23	Plaza Amador - Sporting San Miguelito	4:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
09.08.23	Motagua - Sporting San Miguelito	2:0 ✺
Liga Panamena de Futbol
05.08.23	Alianza Panama - Sporting San Miguelito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LWLLT
- LD Alajuelense
Costa Rican Primera Division
18.08.23	Alajuelense - San Carlos	3:0 ✺
13.08.23	Pérez Zeledón - Alajuelense	1:2 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
08.08.23	Verdes - Alajuelense	0:3 ✺
Costa Rican Primera Division
05.08.23	Sporting San José - Alajuelense	0:0 ✺
CONCACAF Central American Cup
01.08.23	Alajuelense - Olancho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

CONCACAF Champions Cup
26.09.13	Alajuelense - Sporting San Miguelito	2:0
22.08.13	Sporting San Miguelito - Alajuelense	1:0

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