The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting San Miguelito 55.7%
Draw 27.4%
Atlético Nacional 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
28.9%
23.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
28.1%
22.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting San Miguelito's performance.
Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atlético Nacional might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-6.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting San Miguelito that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Nacional could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting San Miguelito - Atlético Nacional Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. De Leon M. (G) 4. Galvan K. 27. Tello Valor R. (C) 29. Alba O. 15. Cedeno A. 5. Cooper A. 10. Jaen Y. 17. Valencia A. 33. Betancourt J. 9. Cox Goods J. C. 23. Caicedo J.
1. Almengor D. (G) 2. Ortega A. 3. Moreno G. 25. Rivas J. 20. Barrera J. 5. Vega M. (C) 21. de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. 27. Barria J. 7. Garces A. 15. Rodriguez C. 22. Diaz S.
Substitutes
20. de Leon R. 21. Giron J. 11. Henricks A. 39. Hoyos D. 3. Hurtado K. 1. Mosquera K. (G) 25. Nino R. 8. Ruiz M. 7. Stewart A.
17. Corpas A. 8. De Gracia R. . Henriquez M. . Moreno S. 26. Murillo G. (G) 4. Pinzon J. 19. P. Perez 10. Riquelme M. 11. Rivera J. 14. Velasquez C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Cox Goods J. C. ⚽,
27', Cooper A. 🟨,
39', Vega M. 🟨,
45', de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
61', Caicedo J. 🟨,
64', Cox Goods J. C. ↓, Ruiz M. ↑,
64', Cooper A. ↓, de Leon R. ↑,
70', de Jesus Menchaca Alarcon Y. ↓, Velasquez C. ↑,
86', 1 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
In recent matches, San Miguelito has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Atlético Nacional is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
San Miguelito may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Atlético Nacional has had a series of away games.
In this match, San Miguelito is the team to beat.
In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
Watch
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De Leon M. (G) 
Caicedo J. 
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