The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting San Miguelito 48.5%
Draw 28.2%
Union Cocle 23.3%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.8%
30.2%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
28%
33.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting San Miguelito has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting San Miguelito's performance.
Union Cocle has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Union Cocle might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting San Miguelito than the current prediction. (-12.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting San Miguelito that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Union Cocle than the current prediction. (+10.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Union Cocle could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting San Miguelito - Union Cocle Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Brown E. (G) 25. Munoz J. 22. Ramirez S. 6. Heraldez L. (C) 20. Bethancourt A. 23. Hurtado H. 11. Zuniga L. 27. Tello Valor R. 29. Castillo J. 31. Alba O. 8. Cordoba A.
1. Gomez Maldonado J. E. (G) 4. Gondola J. 25. Reluz J. 6. Guevara D. 7. Carmona M. (C) 14. Martinez J. 16. Lashley W. 42. Castillo Y. 5. Hunt D. 19. Lynch J. 18. Lindo R.
Substitutes
19. Avila M. 55. Benitez R. 18. Betancourt J. 30. Castillo O. 16. Mosquera E.
27. Baptista S. (G) 24. Brathwaite R. 12. De la Espada J. 11. Diaz M. 21. Gallardo A. 2. Gerald J. 20. Gonzalez J. 55. Pineda J. 10. Vasquez Y. 54. Wong L.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 1)
15', 1 - 0, Bethancourt A. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Lashley W. ⚽,
18', 2 - 1, Zuniga L. ⚽,
29', Martinez J. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
29', Lindo R. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
34', 3 - 1, Domniguez S. ⚽,
39', 🟨,
39', Hunt D. 🟨,
45', Diaz M. 🟨,
45+2', Ramirez S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lashley W. ↓, De la Espada J. ↑,
46', Castillo Y. ↓, Wong L. ↑,
57', Castillo J. 🟨,
63', Castillo J. ↓, Betancourt J. ↑,
68', Vasquez Y. ↓, Pineda J. ↑,
80', Bethancourt A. ↓, Benitez R. ↑,
80', Tello Valor R. ↓, Castillo O. ↑,
83', De la Espada J. 🟨,
84', Hurtado H. ↓, Cordoba A. ↑,
84', Zuniga L. ↓, Avila M. ↑,
Preview
In recent outings, San Miguelito has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Cocle has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
San Miguelito could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, San Miguelito is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, San Miguelito has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:1.
Last Results with these Odds
Sporting San Miguelito - the odds 2.3 are the expected chance of winning is 38.79%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
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Brown E. (G) 
Gomez Maldonado J. E. (G) 
Pineda J. 
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