Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Muresan S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, TSN+
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Play, GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+, TV Canaria
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Sporting de Gijón		Las Palmas

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.68	2.92	2.72
	2.58	3.17	2.82	Watch
	2.72	2.91	2.77	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.58)	2.93 ↓ (3.17)	2.76 ↓ (2.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
34.3%

Draw
31.9%

Las Palmas
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

29.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36%

30.3%

34.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Las Palmas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Las Palmas than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	47.6%	19%

Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas Predictions

Users Predictions: 21 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 7 - 33.3%). Las Palmas will win (votes: 4 - 19%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 47.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.2% – 69%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Sporting de Gijón (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Sporting de Gijón (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yanez R. (G) 20. Vazquez K. (C) 15. Vazquez P. 4. Perrin L. 5. Sanchez D. 24. Smith J. 6. Martin N. 2. Rosas G. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 3. Garcia P. 18. Coundoul A.	1. Horkas D. (G) 17. Viti 4. Alex Suarez (C) 6. Sergio Barcia 5. Clemente E. 24. Pejino 12. Loiodice E. 16. Amatucci L. 14. Fuster M. 25. Lukovic M. 8. Gil I.
Substitutes
8. Bernal J. 9. Caicedo J. 16. Cortes O. 23. Curbelo E. 22. Kembo Y. 11. Queipo D. 38. Riestra N. 36. Rodriguez M. 30. Venteo I. (G)	29. Arvelo A. 13. Caro J. (G) 18. Cedeno E. 22. Garcia A. 15. Herzog J. 3. Marmol M. 2. Marvin 7. Mata J. 27. Pezzolesi V. 20. Rodriguez K. 41. Romero E. 35. Suarez A. (G)
Coaches
Jimenez B.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Sanchez D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
54', Vazquez K. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
62', Pejino ↓, Garcia A. ↑,
63', Smith J. 🟨,
68', Lukovic M. 🟨,
74', Gil I. ↓, Marmol M. ↑,
79', Marmol M. 🟨,
83', Coundoul A. ↓, Caicedo J. ↑,
86', Loiodice E. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 1.

Sporting de Gijón is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Las Palmas's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sporting de Gijón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Bernal J. (Injury) Corredera A. (Yellow Cards) Dubasin J. (Red Card) Joel C. (Surgery)

There will not play in Las Palmas: Jese (Muscle Injury) Recoba J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Sporting de Gijón: Otero J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Las Palmas: Gonzalez I. (Injury) Marmol M. (Muscle Injury) Ramirez S. (Knee Injury) Viera J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Sporting de Gijón won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish Copa del Rey
29.10.25	Caudal Deportivo - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
19.10.25	Valladolid - Sporting de Gijón	2:3 ✺
12.10.25	Sporting de Gijón - Racing Santander	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Castellón - Sporting de Gijón	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWWL
- UD Las Palmas
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	CD Extremadura - Las Palmas	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
24.10.25	Huesca - Las Palmas	1:1 ✺
19.10.25	Las Palmas - Eibar	3:1 ✺
10.10.25	Granada - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
05.10.25	Las Palmas - Cádiz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
26.03.23	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
03.12.22	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:1
29.05.22	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:1
05.12.21	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
20.05.21	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	1:0
29.11.20	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	3:2
08.03.20	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	4:0

Upcoming Matches