Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 36

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Quintero A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport


	Sporting de Gijón		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	3.5	2.9	2.3	Watch
	3.2	2.85	2.3
	3.65	2.9	2.23
	3.53	2.92	2.46
	3.45	2.92	2.35	Watch
	3.25	2.9	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.46)	2.9 (2.9)	2.34 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
27.4%

Draw
32.4%

Deportivo Alavés
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.9%

32%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

30.7%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.1%	26.3%	31.6%

Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 8 - 42.1%). Alavés will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sporting de Gijón: 19.9% – 64.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 14 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Sporting de Gijón has the most likely position - 14 (11.06%), project points - 54, currently - 44, a very small chance of relegated (1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alavés has the most likely position - 5 (20.9%), project points - 71, currently - 61, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (69%), a chance of promoted (49%), a small chance of win league (13%).

This event has quality 36, importance 46, match rating 41. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 0.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Alavés could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish LaLiga2
08.04.23	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
02.04.23	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Las Palmas - Sporting de Gijón	1:1 ✺
19.03.23	Burgos - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
12.03.23	Sporting de Gijón - Mirandés	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWTTL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
10.04.23	Deportivo Alavés - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
02.04.23	Huesca - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Deportivo Alavés - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Deportivo Alavés - Lugo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
Club Friendly
03.08.22	Deportivo Alavés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
10.08.19	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
Spanish LaLiga
05.02.17	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo Alavés	2:4
Club Friendly
09.11.16	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo Alavés	0:2
Spanish LaLiga
28.08.16	Deportivo Alavés - Sporting de Gijón	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
18.04.15	Sporting de Gijón - Deportivo Alavés	1:0

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