Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 35

Date: 10 April 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Optus Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Deportivo Alavés		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.1	5.5	Watch
	1.78	3.1	4.8
	1.74	3.25	5.6
	1.85	3.15	5.65
	1.84	3.14	5.1	Watch
	1.76	3.15	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↓ (1.81)	3.15 ↓ (3.25)	5.38 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
52.4%

Draw
30%

FC Andorra
17.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

28.5%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.3%

30.2%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.9%	16.1%	0%

Deportivo Alavés - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: Deportivo Alavés will win (26 of 31 users predict this - 83.87%).
Confidence interval (95%): 70.92% – 96.82%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (20.76%), project points - 73, currently - 60, not chance of relegated, a good chance of prom. playoffs (59%), a good chance of promoted (58%), a chance of win league (21%).

Andorra has the most likely position - 9 (12.43%), project points - 56, currently - 44, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (3%), a very small chance of promoted (1%), a very small chance of win league (<1%).

This event has quality 39, importance 52, match rating 45. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Recent matches Alavés is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Andorra is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.23	Huesca - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
25.03.23	Deportivo Alavés - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Ponferradina - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
11.03.23	Deportivo Alavés - Lugo	0:0 ✺
06.03.23	Villarreal B - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWLTL
- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.23	FC Andorra - Málaga	1:0 ✺
26.03.23	Eibar - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
18.03.23	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
12.03.23	Cartagena - FC Andorra	0:3 ✺
03.03.23	FC Andorra - Las Palmas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
15.10.22	FC Andorra - Deportivo Alavés	0:1

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