Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 19

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Butarque (Leganes)

Referee: Ais S. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Australia	beIN Connect
Chile	DirecTV Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 8, MAXtv To Go
Ecuador	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Indonesia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Malaysia	beIN SPORTS MAX
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
Peru	DirecTV Sports
Philippines	beIN SPORTS MAX
Portugal	DAZN / App
Romania	Prima Sport PPV 1
Serbia	Arena Sport 1x2
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Thailand	beIN SPORTS MAX
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Ukraine
Uruguay	DirecTV Sports, DSports 6
Venezuela	DirecTV Sports, Inter


	Leganés		Sporting de Gijón

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.05	3.25	Watch
	2.25	3	3.3	Watch
	2.4	3.15	3.4
	2.33	3.02	3.41	Watch
	2.3	2.88	3.3
	2.37	3.06	3.42	Watch
	2.28	3	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.31 ↑ (2.22)	3.02 ↓ (3.03)	3.35 ↓ (3.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Leganés
40.8%

Draw
31.2%

Sporting de Gijón
28.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

30.9%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.3%

31%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Leganés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Sporting de Gijón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Leganés than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	42.9%	7.1%

Leganés - Sporting de Gijón Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Leganés will win (votes: 7 - 50%). Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Leganés: 23.8% – 76.2%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Sporting de Gijón (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Leganés (votes: 1 - 25%). Sporting de Gijón (votes: 1 - 25%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 36. Leiva M. 6. Aguilar Lopez G. 5. Miquel I. 15. Franquesa E. 24. Diawara A. 8. Cisse S. 10. Cruz J. 11. Duk 19. Garcia D. (C) 14. Lopez R.	1. Yanez R. (G) 2. Rosas G. 23. Curbelo E. 15. Vazquez P. 5. Sanchez D. 6. Nacho Martin 8. Bernal J. 17. Dubasin J. 10. Gelabert Pina C. 14. Corredera A. 19. Otero J.
Substitutes
21. Campos A. 9. de la Fuente M. 17. Garcia N. 26. Guirao C. 2. Marvel 16. Melero G. 23. Millan A. 18. Pauwels B. 20. Plano O. 3. Saenz J. 13. San Roman M. (G) 27. Sy A.	9. Caicedo J. 7. Campos G. 16. Cortes O. 18. Coundoul A. 3. Garcia P. 13. Joel C. (G) 12. Olivan B. 4. Perrin L. 11. Queipo D. 36. Rodriguez M. 24. Smith J. 20. Vazquez K.
Coaches
Oca I.	Jimenez B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
60', Nacho Martin 🟨,
62', Lopez R. ↓, Garcia N. ↑,
62', Garcia D. ↓, Millan A. ↑,
68', Leiva M. ↓, Marvel ↑,
74', Curbelo E. 🟨,
80', Cruz J. ↓, de la Fuente M. ↑,
80', Franquesa E. ↓, Plano O. ↑,
81', Otero J. ↓, Campos G. ↑,
81', Corredera A. ↓, Queipo D. ↑,
86', Gelabert Pina C. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
88', 0 - 1, Dubasin J. ⚽, Campos G. (A),
89', Dubasin J. 🟨,
90+3', Aguilar Lopez G. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2.

Leganés has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sporting de Gijón is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Leganés may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Leganés could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Leganés: Figueredo S. (Injury) Hamansenya D. (International duty) Pena R. (Injury) Pulido R. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Sporting de Gijón: Garcia P. (Injury) Loum M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Leganés: Garcia N. (Injury)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Leganés won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 0.9:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Leganés won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Leganés
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Racing Santander - Leganés	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Leganés - Córdoba	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.25	Leganés - Albacete Balompié	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.25	Zaragoza - Leganés	3:2 ✺
22.11.25	Leganés - Almería	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TTLLL
- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Valencia	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
13.12.25	Sporting de Gijón - Granada	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Real Sociedad B - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
03.12.25	Mirandés - Sporting de Gijón	0:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.11.25	Sporting de Gijón - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.24	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	2:1
16.12.23	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	1:1
04.02.23	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	1:0
19.11.22	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	2:2
20.03.22	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
10.09.21	Sporting de Gijón - Leganés	2:1
02.05.21	Leganés - Sporting de Gijón	0:0

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