Match Info

SPAIN: COPA DEL REY - 1/16-FINALS

Date: 3 January 2023, Tuesday

Location: Estadio El Molinón (Gijón)

Referee: Pulido J. (Esp)


	Sporting de Gijón		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.1	2.3	Watch
	3.1	3	2.2	Watch
	3.5	3.1	2.25
	3.25	3.05	2.25
	3.57	3.05	2.35
	3.3	3.2	2.25	Watch
	3.32	3.28	2.2	Watch
	3.25	3.1	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (2.65)	3.11 ↑ (3.05)	2.26 ↓ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting de Gijón
28.2%

Draw
30.2%

Rayo Vallecano
41.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

30.3%

34.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.1%

29.3%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting de Gijón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sporting de Gijón's form might have worsened.

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rayo Vallecano's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting de Gijón than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sporting de Gijón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rayo Vallecano, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
13.2%	21.1%	65.8%

Sporting de Gijón - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Sporting de Gijón will win (votes: 5 - 13.2%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 25 - 65.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 50.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Rayo Vallecano could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Rayo Vallecano have a series of guest games.

Rayo Vallecano will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sporting de Gijón won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Sporting de Gijón won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting de Gijón
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Numancia - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
17.12.22	Real Oviedo - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
11.12.22	Sporting de Gijón - Cartagena	0:0 ✺
08.12.22	Lugo - Sporting de Gijón	0:1 ✺
03.12.22	Sporting de Gijón - Las Palmas	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTWL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga
29.12.22	Girona - Rayo Vallecano	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
21.12.22	Atlético Saguntino - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 penalties ✺
Club Friendly
17.12.22	Newcastle United - Rayo Vallecano	2:1 ✺
10.12.22	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Galatasaray - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
30.03.21	Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón	0:1
16.11.20	Sporting de Gijón - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
25.06.20	Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
25.08.19	Sporting de Gijón - Rayo Vallecano	1:1
24.03.18	Sporting de Gijón - Rayo Vallecano	1:0
22.10.17	Rayo Vallecano - Sporting de Gijón	1:1
Spanish LaLiga
12.02.16	Sporting de Gijón - Rayo Vallecano	2:2

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