Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 17 December 2022, Saturday


	Newcastle United		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	1.66	3.6	4.2
	1.65	3.7	4.8
	1.72	3.85	4.2
	1.72	3.84	4.07
	1.65	3.6	4.33
	1.69	3.95	4.45	Watch
	1.72	3.85	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.71)	3.77 (3.77)	4.32 ↑ (4.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Newcastle United
54.4%

Draw
24.3%

Rayo Vallecano
21.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.4%

24.3%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

23.7%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Rayo Vallecano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	7.7%	23.1%

Newcastle United - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Newcastle: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Newcastle in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Recent matches Rayo Vallecano is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Newcastle could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Rayo Vallecano have a series of guest games.

In this match Newcastle is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Newcastle to win the game is with odds 1.7.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Newcastle United
English Premier League
12.11.22	Newcastle United - Chelsea	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
09.11.22	Newcastle United - Crystal Palace	1:0 penalties ✺
English Premier League
06.11.22	Southampton - Newcastle United	1:4 ✺
29.10.22	Newcastle United - Aston Villa	4:0 ✺
23.10.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Newcastle United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWWW
- Rayo Vallecano
Club Friendly
10.12.22	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	1:1 ✺
03.12.22	Galatasaray - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
30.11.22	Fenerbahçe - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Mollerussa - Rayo Vallecano	1:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
10.11.22	Rayo Vallecano - Celta de Vigo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 TWLWT

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