Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 11

Date: 17 September 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Referee: Quinonez Z. (Par)


	Sportivo Ameliano		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.33
	1.72	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.76	3.95	4.67
	1.7	3.4	4.2
	1.73	3.72	4.4
	1.81	3.45	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.76)	3.67 ↓ (3.69)	4.36 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Ameliano
53.3%

Draw
25.3%

Resistencia
21.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53%

25.3%

21.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

24.8%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Ameliano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Ameliano than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

The ML Model estimate for Resistencia aligns with the current prediction.

Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Papaleo J. (G) 2. Franco F. 13. Cabrera W. 4. Gutierrez T. 19. Paredes A. 7. Samudio A. 6. Zaracho E. 10. Barreto D. 40. Contrera A. 8. Adorno M. 9. Bareiro S.	23. Rhuan (G) 2. Villalva A. 4. Brizuela O. 26. Adorno P. 19. Benitez M. 10. Jorge Nunez 5. Quinonez A. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 17. Maciel M. 11. Lezcano H. 9. Ruiz Diaz R.
Substitutes
25. Balbuena J. (G) 3. Benitez H. 18. Caballero G. 14. Duarte D. 5. Estigarribia M. 17. Torales Richard 11. Vera E.	8. Araujo J. 6. Candia W. 24. Diaz E. 12. Gimenez R. (G) 39. Gonzalez A. 16. Moreira J. 7. Salinas R.
Coaches
Garcia H.	Recalde C.

Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 3 and 4).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 1.

Sportivo Ameliano in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Resistencia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Resistencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sportivo Ameliano is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Sportivo Ameliano to win the game is with odds 1.75.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sportivo Ameliano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Ameliano won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Ameliano
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.09.23	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Ameliano	1:4 ✺
25.08.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Guaireña	4:0 ✺
19.08.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Ameliano	0:3 ✺
11.08.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
07.08.23	Tacuary - Sportivo Ameliano	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WWWWT
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
11.09.23	Resistencia - Guaireña	1:0 ✺
03.09.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Resistencia	3:2 ✺
28.08.23	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	2:1 ✺
21.08.23	Tacuary - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
22.04.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1
10.02.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	0:3
22.10.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	3:2
19.08.22	Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano	2:1
29.04.22	Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano	3:0
11.02.22	Sportivo Ameliano - Resistencia	1:4
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
05.09.21	Resistencia - Sportivo Ameliano	2:0

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