Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 8

Date: 28 August 2023, Monday

Location: Estadio Luis Alfonso Giagni (Asunción)

Referee: Quintana J. (Par)


	Resistencia		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	3.3	3.75	1.91
	3.7	3.25	1.91
	3.89	3.59	2.01
	3.4	3.25	1.91
	3.64	3.54	1.93
	3.35	3.65	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.55 ↑ (3.54)	3.51 ↑ (3.31)	1.94 ↓ (2.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
26.1%

Draw
26.4%

Nacional Asuncion
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

27.9%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

27.5%

46.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Resistencia will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Nacional will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rhuan (G) 16. Moreira J. 4. Brizuela O. (C) 26. Adorno P. 19. Benitez M. 5. Quinonez A. 6. Candia W. 7. Salinas R. 11. Lezcano H. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 22. Ruiz Diaz R.	40. Perez A. (G) 23. Espinola C. 36. Benegas I. 14. Nunez C. (C) 6. Roman 26. Alfaro J. 24. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 8. Velazco F. 7. Martinez M. 11. Caballero G. 28. Ocampos C.
Substitutes
18. Aguilera Colman D. A. 1. Arzamendia M. (G) 32. Colman J. 24. Enciso R. 39. Gonzalez A. 17. Maciel M. 2. Ruan	21. Aguilar G. 4. Benitez G. 18. Blas Caceres 1. Espinola H. (G) 9. Fleitas D. 33. Gaona Lugo O. 29. Vargas S.
Coaches
Recalde C.	Sarabia P.

Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 1.

Resistencia is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Nacional Asuncion is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Nacional Asuncion could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Nacional Asuncion will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Resistencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
21.08.23	Tacuary - Resistencia	1:0 ✺
12.08.23	Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion	0:1 ✺
05.08.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Resistencia	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 LLTLW
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.08.23	Nacional Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	2:3 ✺
11.08.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Nacional Asuncion	2:0 ✺
06.08.23	Nacional Asuncion - Guaireña	2:0 ✺
28.07.23	Guaraní Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
23.07.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Nacional Asuncion	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
18.05.23	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	0:0
12.03.23	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	0:1
25.09.22	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	0:1
21.07.22	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	1:1
06.05.22	Nacional Asuncion - Resistencia	1:2
18.02.22	Resistencia - Nacional Asuncion	3:1

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