Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 6

Date: 12 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Arsenio Erico (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez C. (Par)


	Resistencia		Libertad Asuncion

	1	X	2
	5.5	4	1.53
	5.25	4	1.49
	6	4	1.46
	6.39	4.36	1.53
	5.7	4.2	1.51
	5.4	4.1	1.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.71 ↓ (7.07)	4.11 ↓ (4.59)	1.51 ↑ (1.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Resistencia
16.2%

Draw
22.5%

Libertad Asuncion
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

20.8%

65.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13%

20%

68.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

Libertad Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Libertad Asuncion than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Libertad Asuncion could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	50%	33.3%

Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Resistencia will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Libertad will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Rhuan (G) 2. Villalva A. 4. Brizuela O. 16. Moreira J. 19. Benitez M. 5. Quinonez A. 6. Candia W. 11. Lezcano H. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 22. Ruiz Diaz R. 24. Enciso R.	1. Silva M. (G) 33. Piris I. 5. Viera D. 3. Barboza A. 6. Campuzano A. 10. Melgarejo L. 17. Espinoza M. 21. Sanabria L. 15. Villalba H. 30. Gonzalez D. 7. Cardozo O.
Substitutes
26. Adorno P. 8. Araujo J. 1. Arzamendia M. (G) 32. Colman J. 9. Da Silva N. 10. Jorge Nunez 7. Salinas R.	20. Bareiro A. 26. Caballero H. 28. Fernandez M. 4. Gimenez N. 12. Morinigo Acosta R. M. (G) 2. Ramirez I. 24. Santa C. R.
Coaches
Recalde C.	Garnero D.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 3 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Libertad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Libertad is indisputable favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Resistencia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 3-16.

Including matches at home between the teams Resistencia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
05.08.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Resistencia	2:2 ✺
30.07.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2 ✺
07.07.23	Resistencia - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 TLWWT
- Libertad Asuncion
Copa Sudamericana
08.08.23	Fortaleza - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
04.08.23	Libertad Asuncion - General Caballero JLM	0:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
01.08.23	Libertad Asuncion - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
29.07.23	Sportivo Ameliano - Libertad Asuncion	0:2 ✺
24.07.23	Libertad Asuncion - Guaireña	4:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
17.04.23	Libertad Asuncion - Resistencia	4:0
04.02.23	Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion	0:2
06.10.22	Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion	1:0
31.07.22	Libertad Asuncion - Resistencia	4:0
02.07.22	Resistencia - Libertad Asuncion	0:4
20.04.22	Libertad Asuncion - Resistencia	2:2

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