Match Info

Date: 5 September 2022, Monday 🏁 Finished


	Sportivo Belgrano		Sarmiento de Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.7	4
	2.11	3	3.3
	1.72	3.61	3.53
	1.65	4.5	3.5
	1.68	3.52	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (3.34)	3.67 ↑ (2.87)	3.78 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
51.2%

Draw
24.8%

Sarmiento de Resistencia
24%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

26.9%

31.3%

41.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27%

31.5%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Belgrano's performance.

Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Resistencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-24.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+17.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
90.4%	3.8%	5.8%

Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions

Users Predictions: 104 users predict this event. Sportivo Belgrano will win (votes: 94 - 90.4%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 6 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 3.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Belgrano: 84.7% – 96.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Recent matches Sportivo Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sarmiento is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Sportivo Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sarmiento will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.08.22	Racing de Córdoba - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 ✺
20.08.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay	3:1 ✺
13.08.22	Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1 ✺
07.08.22	Sportivo Belgrano - Boca Unidos	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Juventud Antoniana - Sportivo Belgrano	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWTWL
- Sarmiento de Resistencia
Argentinian Torneo Federal
01.09.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Racing de Córdoba	1:0 ✺
24.08.22	Gimnasia y Esgrima de Concepción del Uruguay - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:1 ✺
20.08.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Unida Gualeguaychu	2:1 ✺
13.08.22	Boca Unidos - Sarmiento de Resistencia	1:3 ✺
05.08.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Juventud Antoniana	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
29.05.22	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Belgrano	2:0
24.10.21	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0
25.07.21	Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de Resistencia	0:2
01.12.19	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1
20.05.17	Sarmiento de Resistencia - Sportivo Belgrano	2:1 penalties

Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de Resistencia