The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Belgrano 51.2%
Draw 24.8%
Sarmiento de Resistencia 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
26.9%
31.3%
41.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.1%
31.5%
41.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Belgrano's performance.
Sarmiento de Resistencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarmiento de Resistencia might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-24.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Belgrano that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarmiento de Resistencia than the current prediction. (+17.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarmiento de Resistencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
90.4%
3.8%
5.8%
Sportivo Belgrano - Sarmiento de Resistencia Predictions
Users Predictions:
104 users predict this event. Sportivo Belgrano will win (votes: 94 - 90.4%). Sarmiento will win (votes: 6 - 5.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 3.8%). Confidence interval (95%) for Sportivo Belgrano: 84.7% – 96.1%.The data is statistically significant.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).
Recent matches Sportivo Belgrano is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Sarmiento is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
Sportivo Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Sarmiento will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 2-8.
Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.
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