Match Info

ARGENTINA: Torneo Federal - Winners stage - Round 4

Date: 11 August 2024, Sunday


	Sportivo Belgrano		Sol de América de Formosa

	1	X	2
	1.38	3.7	8.75
	1.4	4	7.5
				Watch
	1.3	4.3	10.6
	1.4	4	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.72)	4 ↑ (3.2)	8.59 ↑ (4.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Belgrano
66.6%

Draw
22.8%

Sol de América de Formosa
10.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.9%

28.4%

18.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.1%

28.3%

18.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Belgrano's performance.

Sol de América de Formosa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sol de América de Formosa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Belgrano than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Belgrano that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sol de América de Formosa than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sol de América de Formosa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Belgrano - Sol de América de Formosa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Riquelme R. (Own goal),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
48', 1 - 1, Ferreyra L. (Own goal),
52', 2 - 1, Alessandria C. ⚽,
56', 🟥,
57', 🟥,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Sportivo Belgrano is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sportivo Belgrano won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Belgrano
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.08.24	Sportivo Las Parejas - Sportivo Belgrano	1:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:0 ✺
14.07.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo	0:0 ✺
30.06.24	Douglas Haig - Sportivo Belgrano	0:0 ✺
23.06.24	Sportivo Belgrano - Independiente Chivilcoy	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTTW
- Sol de América de Formosa
Argentinian Torneo Federal
04.08.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Atenas Río Cuarto	1:1 ✺
27.07.24	Defensores de Belgrano de Villa Ramallo - Sol de América de Formosa	0:0 ✺
21.07.24	Sol de América de Formosa - General San Martín de Formosa	0:2 ✺
14.07.24	Juventud Antoniana - Sol de América de Formosa	1:2 ✺
07.07.24	Sol de América de Formosa - Crucero del Norte	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
23.04.17	Sol de América de Formosa - Sportivo Belgrano	1:1

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