Match Info

Division Intermedia - Round 6

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Paraguay	Tigo Sports


	Sportivo Carapeguá		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.85	2.7
	2.55	2.85	2.85
	2.59	2.7	2.87
	2.61	2.79	2.89	Watch
	2.57	3.08	2.82
	2.55	2.85	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.49)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)	2.83 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Carapeguá
35.8%

Draw
32%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
32.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

30.9%

32.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3%

31.5%

31.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Carapeguá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sportivo San Lorenzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Carapeguá than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, Ramos I. ⚽,
74', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 1.3:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Carapeguá won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Carapeguá
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
28.04.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Independiente Asuncion	1:1 ✺
21.04.25	Sol de América - Sportivo Carapeguá	2:1 ✺
14.04.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - Fernando de la Mora	0:0 ✺
04.04.25	Encarnación - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0 ✺
30.03.25	Sportivo Carapeguá - 12 de Junio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TLTTW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
26.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - River Plate Asunción	3:0 ✺
20.04.25	Independiente Asuncion - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
14.04.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Rubio Ñu	0:1 ✺
07.04.25	Sol de América - Sportivo San Lorenzo	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Pastoreo	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.08.24	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	4:0
07.10.23	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Sportivo Carapeguá	0:0
02.07.23	Sportivo Carapeguá - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:0

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