Match Info

Primera B - Round 18

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de los Inmigrantes (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play


	Sportivo Dock Sud		Brown de Adrogué

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.78	3.35	Watch
	2.26	2.82	3.46
	2.36	2.54	3.64	Watch
	2.25	2.6	3.5
	2.25	2.73	3.46
	1.95	2.9	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.15)	2.73 ↓ (2.77)	3.56 ↓ (3.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Dock Sud
41.1%

Draw
33.3%

Brown de Adrogué
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

33.1%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

31.4%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Dock Sud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Brown de Adrogué has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Dock Sud than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brown de Adrogué than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Sportivo Dock Sud - Brown de Adrogué Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tello T. (G) 8. Chamorro T. 5. Desposito P. 10. Ghigliazza K. 11. Gomez G. 6. Lopez N. 3. Meza F. 4. Otero F. 7. Villalba B. 2. Villarreal S. 9. Vivas S. (C)	1. Giovini S. (G) 2. Aguirre C. 9. Baez B. 6. Cardozo D. 7. Cesare L. 8. Gonzalez A. 11. Gonzalez L. 10. Meaurio N. 3. Ortiz A. 5. Robles E. 19. Sproat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Rodriguez N. ⚽,
45', Sproat M. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
65', Meaurio N. ↓, Baez B. ↑,
72', Sproat M. ↓, Bogado J. ↑,
72', Rodriguez N. ↓, Galvan L. ↑,
89', Castano A. ↓, Patrizio T. ↑,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 20).

Dock Sud is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Brown de Adrogué has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Brown de Adrogué may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Dock Sud could have a small edge in this match.

We predict that Dock Sud will win today's game, with odds of 2.4.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Dock Sud won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Including home match between the teams, Dock Sud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Dock Sud	38	11	14	13	40:42	-2	47
19	Brown Adrogue	38	8	15	15	24:37	-13	39

Last Results with these Odds

Sportivo Dock Sud - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.66%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Dock Sud
Argentinian Primera B
26.05.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Real Pilar	2:0 ✺
23.05.26	Deportivo Armenio - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Deportivo Flandria	0:0 ✺
10.05.26	Argentino de Quilmes - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:2 ✺
02.05.26	Sportivo Dock Sud - Defensores Unidos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTTWW
- Brown de Adrogué
Argentinian Primera B
26.05.26	Brown de Adrogué - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	1:2 ✺
22.05.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Merlo	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Deportivo Camioneros - Brown de Adrogué	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Brown de Adrogué - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	San Martín de Burzaco - Brown de Adrogué	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
17.08.25	Sportivo Dock Sud - Brown de Adrogué	1:3
30.03.25	Brown de Adrogué - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1

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