The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportivo Armenio 41.6%
Draw 32%
Villa San Carlos 26.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.7%
28.4%
23.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.1%
29.3%
23.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportivo Armenio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportivo Armenio's form might have worsened.
Villa San Carlos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Armenio than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportivo Armenio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa San Carlos than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Deportivo Armenio - Villa San Carlos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Palma L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Farias F. ↓, Mussis F. ↑,
60', Ponton A. ↓, Salinas R. ↑,
60', Pavia K. ↓, Plastino M. ↑,
65', Suanez R. ↓, Aguirre E. ↑,
66', Areco G. 🟨,
71', Martinez A. ↓, Acosta A. ↑,
71', Fabi S. ↓, Alvarez R. ↑,
76', Pellegrino L. ↓, Rodriguez C. ↑,
86', Esteves I. 🟨,
90+1', Lagomarsino S. ↓, Gerez R. ↑,
90+1', Tello F. ↓, Brandan J. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 2.
Recent performances by Deportivo Armenio have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Villa San Carlos is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Deportivo Armenio will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Deportivo Armenio won 5 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 0.8:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Deportivo Armenio won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1:0.6).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
8
Deportivo Armenio
38
17
9
12
42:38
4
60
13
Villa San Carlos
38
11
14
13
37:39
-2
47
Last Results with these Odds
Villa San Carlos - the odds 3.75 are the expected chance of winning is 23.89%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
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