Match Info

Date: 9 September 2022, Friday


	Sportivo Italiano		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	1.4	3.9	7
	1.38	3.75	8.2
	1.41	3.8	7.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	3.82 ↑ (3.62)	7.7 ↑ (6.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Italiano
64.6%

Draw
23.6%

El Porvenir
11.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.4%

25.1%

13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.4%

23.2%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Italiano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Italiano than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Sportivo Italiano - El Porvenir Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 8 and 18).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Italiano won 2.

Sportivo Italiano is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

El Porvenir has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

El Porvenir could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sportivo Italiano is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Sportivo Italiano won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Italiano won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Italiano
Argentinian Primera C
03.09.22	San Martín de Burzaco - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
27.08.22	Sportivo Italiano - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
21.08.22	General Lamadrid - Sportivo Italiano	0:0 ✺
13.08.22	Sportivo Italiano - Berazategui	1:0 ✺
07.08.22	Argentino de Merlo - Sportivo Italiano	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16 TTTWW
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
04.09.22	El Porvenir - Leandro N. Alem	0:2 ✺
20.08.22	San Martín de Burzaco - El Porvenir	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	El Porvenir - Real Pilar	1:1 ✺
08.08.22	General Lamadrid - El Porvenir	2:1 ✺
30.07.22	El Porvenir - Berazategui	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
06.05.22	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	1:0
07.08.21	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	1:1
20.03.21	Sportivo Italiano - El Porvenir	2:0
11.11.19	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	0:1
18.03.19	Sportivo Italiano - El Porvenir	0:2
05.10.18	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	0:0
31.03.18	El Porvenir - Sportivo Italiano	4:1

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