Match Info

Primera C - Round 16

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday


	El Porvenir		Leandro N. Alem

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.38	2.82	2.98	Watch
	2.36	2.74	3.04
				Watch
	2.3	2.97	3.05
	2.04	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (2.1)	2.91 ↓ (3.07)	3.11 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

El Porvenir
39.8%

Draw
31.1%

Leandro N. Alem
29.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

29.5%

27.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

28.7%

26.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

El Porvenir has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Leandro N. Alem has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leandro N. Alem than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

El Porvenir - Leandro N. Alem Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Dilandro A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
50', 0 - 2, Grieger R. (Pen),
56', 0 - 3, Romero F. ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 12 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera C (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

El Porvenir will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, El Porvenir won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:16. (average 0.9:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, El Porvenir won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
27.06.25	Mercedes - El Porvenir	0:0 ✺
21.06.25	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:0 ✺
31.05.25	El Porvenir - Puerto Nuevo	3:1 ✺
25.05.25	Lugano - El Porvenir	2:0 ✺
20.05.25	El Porvenir - Berazategui	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTWLL
- Leandro N. Alem
Argentinian Primera C
28.06.25	Leandro N. Alem - Defensores de Cambaceres	0:1 ✺
31.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Mercedes	1:2 ✺
25.05.25	Central Córdoba de Rosario - Leandro N. Alem	0:1 ✺
21.05.25	Leandro N. Alem - Puerto Nuevo	2:3 ✺
11.05.25	Lugano - Leandro N. Alem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
23.03.25	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	2:1
28.10.24	El Porvenir - Leandro N. Alem	1:1
24.05.24	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	2:0
04.09.22	El Porvenir - Leandro N. Alem	0:2
02.05.22	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	2:1
03.09.21	Leandro N. Alem - El Porvenir	0:0
17.04.21	El Porvenir - Leandro N. Alem	3:0

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