Match Info

Date: 29 May 2022, Sunday


	Sportivo Iteño		Sportivo San Lorenzo

	1	X	2
	6	3.75	1.47
	7	3.8	1.42
	4.1	3.6	1.67
	7.01	3.66	1.44
	6.5	3.75	1.44
	6.3	4.1	1.46
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.15 ↑ (3.26)	3.78 ↑ (3)	1.48 ↓ (2.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Iteño
14.8%

Draw
24%

Sportivo San Lorenzo
61.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.6%

29.9%

42.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

34.4%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Iteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportivo Iteño's form might have worsened.

Sportivo San Lorenzo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sportivo San Lorenzo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Iteño than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportivo Iteño, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo San Lorenzo than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sportivo San Lorenzo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	8.3%	91.7%

Sportivo Iteño - Sportivo San Lorenzo Predictions

Users Predictions: Sportivo San Lorenzo will win (11 of 12 users predict this - 91.67%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Apertura)).

Recent matches Sportivo Iteño is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo San Lorenzo is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sportivo Iteño could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Iteño
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
21.05.22	Colegiales - Sportivo Iteño	1:2
18.05.22	Sportivo Iteño - 2 de Mayo	1:1 ✺
13.05.22	Sportivo Trinidense - Sportivo Iteño	4:1 ✺
23.04.22	Sportivo Iteño - Atyrá	1:1 ✺
19.04.22	Deportivo Santaní - Sportivo Iteño	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTLTW
- Sportivo San Lorenzo
Paraguayan Division Intermedia
24.05.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Independiente Asuncion	2:0 ✺
20.05.22	Fernando de la Mora - Sportivo San Lorenzo	0:2 ✺
16.05.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - 3 de Febrero	3:0 ✺
09.05.22	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo San Lorenzo	2:1 ✺
02.05.22	Sportivo San Lorenzo - River Plate Asunción	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.1 WWWLT

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