The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sportivo Luqueño 22.1%
Draw 26.8%
Cerro Porteño 51.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
21.3%
26.2%
52.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
20.8%
25.6%
53.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sportivo Luqueño has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Sportivo Luqueño - Cerro Porteño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Campisi N. (G) 22. Ocampos S. 2. Barreto M. 6. Wiechniak F. 23. Cantero A. 8. Maiz A. 10. Bogado G. 14. Benitez F. (C) 11. Ruiz O. 20. Maggi I. 25. Ramos J.
12. Martinez A. (G) 2. Dominguez F. 4. Canete Torres A. D. 6. Merolla L. 15. Riveros B. 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. (C) 31. Aliseda I. 32. Bobadilla C. 18. Gamarra A. 7. Rodriguez D. 19. Vegetti P.
Substitutes
28. Balbuena A. 24. Beltran S. 18. Bobadilla F. 3. Brizuela A. 37. Comas L. 30. Franco T. 9. Gonzalez W. 12. Mongelos F. (G) 29. Muro T. 21. Ojeda M. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M.
20. Almendra A. E. 21. Araujo S. 13. Benitez A. G. 34. Chena C. 28. Franco C. 30. Gimenez G. 40. Klimowicz M. 5. Morel J. 16. Ramirez I. 1. Roffo M. (G) 27. Torres J. 23. Velazquez G.
Coaches
Barrios L.
Costas G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
12', 0 - 1, Vegetti P. ⚽,
28', 0 - 2, Merolla L. ⚽,
32', Barrios L. 🟨,
33', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
36', Campisi N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Cantero A. ↓, Balbuena A. ↑,
63', Aliseda I. ↓, Klimowicz M. ↑,
63', Riveros B. ↓, Benitez A. G. ↑,
63', 0 - 3, Rodriguez D. ⚽,
64', Ruiz O. ↓, Ojeda M. ↑,
64', Maiz A. ↓, Comas L. ↑,
64', Ramos J. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
74', Vegetti P. ↓, Torres J. ↑,
76', Gamarra A. ↓, Morel J. ↑,
79', Bobadilla C. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,
81', Gimenez G. 🟨,
85', Maggi I. 🟨,
85', Maggi I. ↓, Gonzalez W. ↑,
Preview
Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 9th and 8th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sportivo Luqueño won 0.
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Cerro Porteño may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this matchup, Cerro Porteño is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sportivo Luqueño has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 16:29 (averaging 0.8:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sportivo Luqueño against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 5 draws, and 3 losses, with 10:12 goals (averaging 1.1:1.3 per game).
Standings
Clausura
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Cerro Porteno
16
7
3
6
23:17
6
24
9
Sp. Luqueno
16
5
1
10
17:30
-13
16
Last Results with these Odds
Cerro Porteño - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 52.49%, but this team recently wins 47% of matches with these odds.