Match Info

PARAGUAY: PRIMERA DIVISION - CLAUSURA - ROUND 5

Date: 5 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Feliciano Cáceres (Luque)

Referee: Romero B. (Par)


	Sportivo Luqueño		Resistencia

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.4	3.8
	1.85	3.3	3.5
	1.81	3.4	3.9
	1.93	3.67	4.13
	1.75	3.2	4.2
	1.86	3.56	3.9
	1.95	3.45	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.82)	3.43 ↓ (3.6)	3.86 ↓ (4.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Luqueño
49.5%

Draw
26.8%

Resistencia
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

26.3%

21.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

27.4%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Resistencia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Resistencia than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Sportivo Luqueño - Resistencia Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Aguilar A. (G) 4. Leguizamon J. 6. Jimenez J. 16. Duarte E. 23. Aguilar P. (C) 14. Benitez F. 29. Gonzalez A. 19. Perez M. 27. Baez J. 11. Fretes S. 9. Charpentier P.	23. Rhuan (G) 2. Villalva A. 4. Brizuela O. 16. Moreira J. 19. Benitez M. 11. Lezcano H. 6. Candia W. 20. Martinez Candia C. A. 22. Ruiz Diaz R. 7. Salinas R. 32. Colman J.
Substitutes
7. Alegre D. 30. Castro M. 1. Falcon G. (G) 2. Ferreira R. 22. Nunez J. 15. Pereira K. 18. Rojas R.	26. Adorno P. 1. Arzamendia M. (G) 9. Da Silva N. 35. Diaz E. 10. Jorge Nunez 17. Maciel M. 5. Quinonez A.
Coaches
Caceres J. C.	Recalde C.

Preview

Outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 12 and 4).

Sportivo Luqueño is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Resistencia is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Resistencia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sportivo Luqueño is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sportivo Luqueño won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Luqueño won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Luqueño
Paraguayan Primera Division
28.07.23	General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Luqueño	1:0 ✺
23.07.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Sportivo Ameliano	1:2 ✺
17.07.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	2:2 ✺
09.07.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2 ✺
09.06.23	Guaireña - Sportivo Luqueño	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLTLW
- Resistencia SC
Paraguayan Primera Division
30.07.23	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
22.07.23	Sportivo Trinidense - Resistencia	1:2 ✺
15.07.23	Resistencia - Olimpia Asuncion	3:2 ✺
07.07.23	Resistencia - General Caballero JLM	1:1 ✺
11.06.23	Olimpia Asuncion - Resistencia	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.2 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
14.05.23	Resistencia - Sportivo Luqueño	1:1
05.03.23	Sportivo Luqueño - Resistencia	1:0

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