The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
General Caballero JLM 51.8%
Draw 34.5%
Sportivo Luqueño 13.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
39.1%
28%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
28.2%
33.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
General Caballero JLM has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in General Caballero JLM's performance.
Sportivo Luqueño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-19.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Luqueño might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for General Caballero JLM than the current prediction. (-13%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with General Caballero JLM that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Luqueño than the current prediction. (+19.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Luqueño could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
General Caballero JLM - Sportivo Luqueño Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Tales (G) 4. Molinas G. 6. Mareco M. 16. Gonzalez J. 32. Vega G. 10. Arce S. 14. Rodas A. 25. Aguilera A. D. 28. Franco J. 30. Diaz E. 7. Ferreira M.
40. Espinola A. (G) 23. Espinola A. 5. Villalba A. (C) 26. Monzon L. 33. Alborno R. 16. Benitez A. 18. Quintana S. 27. Baez J. 37. Comas L. 10. Diaz S. 11. Gonzalez W.
Substitutes
33. Araujo A. 22. Arguello V. 18. Armoa J. 23. Baigorria A. 5. Caceres L. 27. Fernandez E. 1. Guillen L. (G) 31. Machuca M. 21. Schabus M. 8. Torales S.
12. Aguilar A. (G) 14. Benitez F. 21. Bobadilla F. 3. Brizuela A. 30. Caceres T. 13. Dorrego H. 15. Maldonado S. 22. Ocampos S. 7. Pereira K. 19. Perez M. 25. Ramos J. 9. Santander F.
Coaches
Ovelar H.
Caceres J. C.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
17', Rodas A. 🟨,
37', 1 - 0, Gonzalez J. ⚽, Mareco M. (A),
45', 2 - 0, Diaz E. ⚽, Arce S. (A),
2nd Half (3 - 2)
46', Baez J. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
46', Diaz S. ↓, Perez M. ↑,
49', 2 - 1, Perez M. ⚽, Comas L. (A),
60', Tales 🟨,
61', Tales ↓, Guillen L. ↑,
63', 2 - 2, Comas L. (Pen),
68', 3 - 2, Mareco M. ⚽,
70', Diaz E. ↓, Fernandez E. ↑,
71', Vega G. ↓, Armoa J. ↑,
72', Comas L. ↓, Santander F. ↑,
84', 4 - 2, Arce S. ⚽, Ferreira M. (A),
86', Ferreira M. ↓, Torales S. ↑,
86', Aguilera A. D. ↓, Baigorria A. ↑,
86', Espinola A. ↓, Ocampos S. ↑,
89', Monzon L. 🟨,
90+5', 5 - 2, ⚽,
Preview
This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 6).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 1.
General Caballero is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sportivo Luqueño's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, General Caballero won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, General Caballero won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:4. (average 1.6:0.8).
Last Results with these Odds
Sportivo Luqueño - the odds 2.84 are the expected chance of winning is 32.91%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.
Argentina
Paraguay
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Tales (G) 
Molinas G. 
Vega G. 
Araujo A. 
Bobadilla F. 
Dorrego H. 
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