Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 25

Date: 6 August 2023, Sunday


	Sportivo Peñarol		San Martín de Mendoza

	1	X	2
	2.4	2.8	2.85
	2.3	2.8	3.15
	2.47	2.97	3.04
	2.59	2.95	2.77	Watch
	2.41	2.95	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.33)	2.89 ↑ (2.85)	2.94 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
37.5%

Draw
31.5%

San Martín de Mendoza
31%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

32%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

32.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

San Martín de Mendoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Mendoza than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Sportivo Peñarol - San Martín de Mendoza Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Sportivo Peñarol is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches San Martín de Mendoza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sportivo Peñarol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Sportivo Peñarol will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.23	Juventud Unida Universitario - Sportivo Peñarol	2:1 ✺
24.07.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:3 ✺
15.07.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - Sportivo Peñarol	1:1 ✺
08.07.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:1 ✺
02.07.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLTTL
- San Martín de Mendoza
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.08.23	San Martín de Mendoza - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:1 ✺
29.07.23	Argentino Monte Maíz - San Martín de Mendoza	1:3 ✺
23.07.23	San Martín de Mendoza - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	3:1 ✺
15.07.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - San Martín de Mendoza	1:0 ✺
09.07.23	San Martín de Mendoza - Atenas Río Cuarto	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 TWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.06.23	San Martín de Mendoza - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0
23.04.23	Sportivo Peñarol - San Martín de Mendoza	4:2

Sportivo Peñarol - San Martín de Mendoza: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide