Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 20

Date: 8 July 2023, Saturday


	Sportivo Peñarol		Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis

	1	X	2
	1.39	3.9	7.25
	1.41	3.8	7
	1.47	3.68	6.02
	1.33	4	8
	1.38	4.25	7.9
	1.39	4	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (2.1)	3.94 ↑ (2.84)	7.3 ↑ (3.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportivo Peñarol
64.7%

Draw
22.9%

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
12.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.8%

31.6%

25.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

30.9%

25.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportivo Peñarol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sportivo Peñarol's performance.

Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sportivo Peñarol than the current prediction. (-21%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sportivo Peñarol that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis than the current prediction. (+12.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 2.

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Sportivo Peñarol could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sportivo Peñarol is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Sportivo Peñarol won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Sportivo Peñarol won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportivo Peñarol
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.07.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Peñarol	2:0 ✺
28.06.23	Atenas Río Cuarto - Sportivo Peñarol	1:2 ✺
24.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Huracán Las Heras	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	San Martín de Mendoza - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0 ✺
10.06.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Juventud Unida Universitario	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 LWWLW
- Club Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis
Argentinian Torneo Federal
02.07.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Ciudad de Bolívar	1:0 ✺
28.06.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Argentino Monte Maíz	1:4 ✺
18.06.23	Ferro Gen.Pico - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0 ✺
13.06.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Atenas Río Cuarto	3:0 ✺
04.06.23	Huracán Las Heras - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
17.05.23	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	3:0
19.03.23	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:1
24.07.22	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	4:1
17.04.22	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0
31.10.21	Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis	1:0
01.08.21	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	0:3
04.12.20	Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis - Sportivo Peñarol	1:0

Sportivo Peñarol - Sportivo Estudiantes San Luis: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide