The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Villa Mitre 55.2%
Draw 29.3%
Argentino Monte Maíz 15.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
29.7%
25.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.7%
29.9%
25.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.
Argentino Monte Maíz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Argentino Monte Maíz might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-10.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Villa Mitre that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Argentino Monte Maíz than the current prediction. (+10.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Argentino Monte Maíz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
88.2%
5.9%
5.9%
Villa Mitre - Argentino Monte Maíz Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 3 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Villa Mitre will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%). Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Villa Mitre will win (10 of 10 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Aguero F. (G) 4. Dauwalder F. 2. Cepeda G. 6. Zadel D. 3. Ihitz N. 8. Mujica P. 5. Jouglard V. 10. Gonzalez E. 11. Lopez M. 7. Perez T. 9. Iriarte L.
1. Bonet A. (G) 4. Coronas E. 2. Vera H. 6. Amaya I. 3. Barbero M. 8. Baier G. 5. Lopez L. 10. Correa M. 11. Vera M. 7. Larrea L. 9. Oballes P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
7', Correa M. 🟨,
25', Lentini R. 🟨,
28', Correa M. 🟨,
29', Amaya I. 🟨,
30', Sarmiento G. 🟨,
38', Aguero F. ↓, Molini L. ↑,
45', 1 - 0, Manchafico V. (Pen),
45', Barbero M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Amaya I. ↓, Moreyra P. ↑,
46', Oballes P. ↓, Bassani J. ↑,
46', Sarmiento G. ↓, Larrea L. ↑,
66', Lentini R. ↓, Tejada J. ↑,
67', Perez T. ↓, Mujica P. ↑,
67', Algozino L. ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
75', Cerato L. ↓, Peralta M. ↑,
75', Iriarte L. ↓, De Hoyos D. ↑,
83', Larrea L. ↓, Lasserre R. ↑,
90+1', 🟨,
Preview
This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Promotion ~ Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Federal (Play Offs: )).
Recent form of Villa Mitre has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, Argentino MM has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Villa Mitre may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Villa Mitre is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Villa Mitre won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Villa Mitre won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
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Aguero F. (G) 
Vera H. 
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