Match Info

ARGENTINA: TORNEO FEDERAL - ROUND 19

Date: 2 July 2023, Sunday


	Villa Mitre		CA Liniers

	1	X	2
	1.31	4.33	8.5
	1.3	4.25	9
	1.33	4.1	8.59
	1.3	4.5	8
	1.31	4.6	9.5
	1.32	4.3	9.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.46)	4.35 ↑ (3.72)	8.8 ↑ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Villa Mitre
68.9%

Draw
20.8%

CA Liniers
10.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

24.2%

13.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

22.9%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Villa Mitre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Villa Mitre's performance.

CA Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Villa Mitre than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CA Liniers than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Villa Mitre - CA Liniers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Villa Mitre is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

CA Liniers is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CA Liniers could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Villa Mitre is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Villa Mitre won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 0-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Villa Mitre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Villa Mitre
Argentinian Torneo Federal
28.06.23	Villa Mitre - Sansinena	0:0 ✺
24.06.23	Círculo Deportivo - Villa Mitre	0:0 ✺
18.06.23	Villa Mitre - Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1:0 ✺
11.06.23	Sol de Mayo - Villa Mitre	1:1 ✺
04.06.23	Villa Mitre - Germinal	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 TTWTW
- CA Liniers
Argentinian Torneo Federal
24.06.23	Sansinena - CA Liniers	2:0 ✺
17.06.23	CA Liniers - Círculo Deportivo	2:0 ✺
11.06.23	Olimpo Bahia Blanca - CA Liniers	1:0 ✺
03.06.23	CA Liniers - Sol de Mayo	0:1 ✺
28.05.23	Germinal - CA Liniers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Torneo Federal
13.05.23	CA Liniers - Villa Mitre	0:0
11.03.23	Villa Mitre - CA Liniers	0:0
24.09.22	CA Liniers - Villa Mitre	2:0
17.06.22	Villa Mitre - CA Liniers	0:1

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