Match Info

Southern League Premier Central - Round 38

Date: 3 April 2026, Friday


	St Ives Town		Harborough Town

	1	X	2
	6.9	4.75	1.33
	6.95	4.82	1.36
	7.14	5.01	1.37	Watch
	7	4.2	1.33
	7.9	4.6	1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.18 ↑ (6.37)	4.68 ↑ (4.34)	1.34 ↓ (1.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St Ives Town
12.7%

Draw
19.5%

Harborough Town
67.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14.2%

20.9%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.9%

20.4%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St Ives Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Harborough Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St Ives Town than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Harborough Town than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

St Ives Town - Harborough Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
28', 1 - 0, Dobson N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
64', 1 - 1, McAuley R. ⚽,
67', 1 - 2, Pennant T. ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North).

St Ives is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Harborough is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, St Ives has had a series of away games.

In this match, Harborough is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, St Ives won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, St Ives won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St Ives Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Stourbridge - St Ives Town	4:3 ✺
24.03.26	Alvechurch - St Ives Town	1:1 ✺
21.03.26	St Ives Town - Spalding United	1:1 ✺
14.03.26	Needham Market - St Ives Town	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	Redditch United - St Ives Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTTLL
- Harborough Town
English Southern League Central Division
28.03.26	Harborough Town - Bury Town	2:2 ✺
24.03.26	Real Bedford - Harborough Town	2:2 ✺
21.03.26	Alvechurch - Harborough Town	0:2 ✺
17.03.26	Bromsgrove Sporting - Harborough Town	1:2 ✺
14.03.26	Harborough Town - Real Bedford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 TTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
23.08.25	Harborough Town - St Ives Town	2:0
12.04.25	Harborough Town - St Ives Town	1:2
14.12.24	St Ives Town - Harborough Town	4:1
Club Friendly
06.07.21	Harborough Town - St Ives Town	0:1

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