The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St Patricks Athletic 70%
Draw 20.2%
Nõmme Kalju 9.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.8%
23.2%
16%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.6%
22.5%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St Patricks Athletic has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St Patricks Athletic's performance.
Nõmme Kalju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nõmme Kalju might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for St Patricks Athletic than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St Patricks Athletic that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nõmme Kalju than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nõmme Kalju could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
81.2%
18.7%
0%
St Patricks Athletic - Nõmme Kalju Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Nõmme Kalju (5.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
AH -0.5 - St Patricks (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
St Patricks Athletic will win
(13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%). Confidence interval (95%): 62.12% – 100%.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. St Patricks (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Nõmme Kalju (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
94. Anang J. (G) 23. McLaughlin R. 5. Grivosti T. 4. Redmond J. (C) 11. McClelland J. 19. Baggley B. 6. Lennon J. 10. Leavy K. 7. Elbouzedi Z. 9. Melia M. 25. Power S.
69. Pavlov M. (G) 7. Tarassenkov D. 78. Mashchenko D. 50. Podholjuzin M. (C) 20. Tambedou M. 8. Musolitin O. 29. Patrikejevs I. 6. Kask K. 26. Siht R. 27. Mannilaan M. 10. Ivanov N.
Substitutes
3. Breslin A. 15. Carty C. 8. Forrester C. 31. Hayes B. 14. Kavanagh B. 30. Kazeem A. 18. Keena A. 49. Molloy S. (G) 20. Mulraney J. 1. Rogers D. (G) 21. Sjoberg A. 24. Turner L.
21. Baptista T. 4. Boronilstsikov A. 87. Guilherme Smith 30. Jabir I. 5. Korre U. 3. Liit S. 17. Lotar Eyang E. E. 79. Marin P. 22. Nikolajev A. 11. Orlov M. 1. Perk H. (G)
Coaches
Kenny S.
Andreev N.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
23', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
24', Elbouzedi Z. ↓, Mulraney J. ↑,
36', Patrikejevs I. 🟨,
38', Musolitin O. 🟨,
45', Mulraney J. 🟨,
45+6', Podholjuzin M. ↓, Korre U. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Musolitin O. ↓, Nikolajev A. ↑,
55', Siht R. 🟨,
62', Ivanov N. ↓, Guilherme Smith ↑,
64', Siht R. 🟨,
69', Mashchenko D. 🟨,
70', McLaughlin R. ↓, Keena A. ↑,
72', Patrikejevs I. ↓, Liit S. ↑,
79', Leavy K. ↓, Kavanagh B. ↑,
79', Lennon J. ↓, Forrester C. ↑,
79', Melia M. ↓, Carty C. ↑,
90', 1 - 0, Forrester C. ⚽,
Preview
1st leg.
St Patricks is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Nõmme Kalju has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
In this match, St Patricks is the obvious favorite.
We predict that St Patricks will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
United-kingdom
Watch
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Anang J. (G) 
McLaughlin R. 
Grivosti T. 
Redmond J. (C) 
Pavlov M. (G) 
Tarassenkov D. 
Mashchenko D. 
Tambedou M. 
Patrikejevs I. 
Sjoberg A. 
Baptista T. 
Guilherme Smith 
Lotar Eyang E. E. 
