Match Info

Challenge League - Promotion Group - Round 5

Date: 4 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Centenary Stadium (Ta' Qali)


	St. Andrews		Birżebbuġa St. Peters

	1	X	2
	6.9	4.25	1.37	Watch
	6.77	4.54	1.34
	6.76	4.61	1.37	Watch
	7	4	1.36
	7.5	4.5	1.34
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.99 ↑ (6.66)	4.38 ↑ (4.29)	1.36 ↓ (1.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
12.9%

Draw
20.6%

Birżebbuġa St. Peters
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.6%

21%

65.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

20.7%

66.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Birżebbuġa St. Peters has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Birżebbuġa St. Peters than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

St. Andrews - Birżebbuġa St. Peters Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
3', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 0 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

Recent performances by St. Andrews have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Birżebbuġa is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Birżebbuġa is the clear favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, St. Andrews won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	St. Andrews	2	0	1	1	1:4	-3	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
14.03.26	Melita - St. Andrews	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	St. Andrews - Sirens	0:3 ✺
01.03.26	Fgura United - St. Andrews	2:0 ✺
22.02.26	Balzan - St. Andrews	1:4 ✺
14.02.26	St. Andrews - Santa Lucia	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22 LLLWW
- Birżebbuġa St. Peters
Maltese Challenge League
14.03.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Pietà Hotspurs	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Swieqi United - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Melita	2:1 ✺
22.02.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - Fgura United	3:1 ✺
14.02.26	Żebbuġ Rangers - Birżebbuġa St. Peters	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
10.01.26	Birżebbuġa St. Peters - St. Andrews	1:0

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