Match Info

Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 7

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	St. Andrews		Gudja United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.45
	1.78	3.55	3.9	Watch
	1.83	3.77	3.62	Watch
	1.88	3.5	3.56
	1.78	3.55	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.53)	3.51 ↑ (3.33)	3.49 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Andrews
47.2%

Draw
26.3%

Gudja United
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

27.4%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

26.2%

34.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Andrews's performance.

Gudja United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gudja United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Andrews that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gudja United than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gudja United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Andrews - Gudja United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Pisani J. (G) 4. Camilleri D. 10. Correa Duarte R. C. 20. Elizeu 14. Galliano M. 23. Johnson M. (C) 17. Magro O. 7. Marcelo Dias 19. Muscat Z. 8. Soares R. 11. Sultana N.	26. Pisani J. (G) 5. Bartolo T. 19. Conti M. 8. Cutajar J. 18. Dias Santos W. 9. Diego 4. Gauci N. 14. Grech J. 22. Mifsud D. (C) 13. Mizzi A. 7. Willian
Substitutes
9. Elouni O. 21. England W. 6. Galea N. 16. Kiala N. R. 1. Mifsud S. (G) 13. Portelli M. 15. Scicluna L. 3. Tanti C. P. 24. Zivkovic A.	10. Cremona L. 39. Farrugia G. 92. Fenech R. 30. Micallef E. 77. Shola H. S. 90. Zammit G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Galliano M. ⚽,
37', Correa Duarte R. C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', Marcelo Dias ↓, Tanti C. P. ↑,
64', Conti M. 🟨,
68', Bartolo T. ↓, Cremona L. ↑,
68', Willian ↓, Micallef E. ↑,
68', Conti M. ↓, Shola H. S. ↑,
72', Correa Duarte R. C. ↓, Galea N. ↑,
72', Sultana N. ↓, Kiala N. R. ↑,
80', Mifsud D. ↓, Fenech R. ↑,
80', Grech J. ↓, Farrugia G. ↑,
84', Camilleri D. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
84', Galliano M. ↓, England W. ↑,
89', 1 - 1, Diego ⚽,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

St. Andrews in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Gudja United is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches St. Andrews won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
06.04.25	Żebbuġ Rangers - St. Andrews	2:5 ✺
30.03.25	Mtarfa - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
08.03.25	St. Andrews - Sirens	2:1 ✺
02.03.25	Lija Athletic - St. Andrews	0:2 ✺
23.02.25	St. Andrews - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWWWW
- Gudja United
Maltese Challenge League
06.04.25	Gudja United - Mtarfa	1:3 ✺
29.03.25	Sirens - Gudja United	2:3 ✺
08.03.25	Gudja United - Lija Athletic	0:1 ✺
01.03.25	Senglea Athletic - Gudja United	1:1 ✺
22.02.25	Gudja United - Fgura United	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
21.12.24	Gudja United - St. Andrews	4:2

St. Andrews - Gudja United: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide