Match Info

MALTA: Challenge League - Relegation Group - Round 3

Date: 2 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Victor Tedesco Stadium (Hamrun)


	Lija Athletic		St. Andrews

	1	X	2
	3.5	3.4	1.85
				Watch
	3.3	3.4	1.96
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↑ (2.5)	3.4 ↓ (3.6)	1.91 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lija Athletic
26.4%

Draw
26.4%

St. Andrews
47.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36%

25%

39.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.8%

25.5%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lija Athletic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lija Athletic's form might have worsened.

St. Andrews has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting St. Andrews's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lija Athletic than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lija Athletic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Andrews than the current prediction. (-8.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for St. Andrews, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Lija Athletic - St. Andrews Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. St. Andrews will win (votes: 5 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Bonnici L. (C) 5. Azzopardi A. 83. Briffa S. 3. Camilleri J. 11. Costa R. 44. Courage O. 2. Giordimaina C. 20. Iury 31. Jackson K. 66. Khatib O. 8. Mifsud M.	26. Pisani J. (G) 4. Camilleri D. 10. Correa Duarte R. C. 20. Elizeu 14. Galliano M. 23. Johnson M. (C) 17. Magro O. 7. Marcelo Dias 15. Scicluna L. 8. Soares R. 11. Sultana N.
Substitutes
99. Amhamed A. 24. Azzopardi B. 7. Beu E. 21. Fenech M. 16. Joyce G. 1. Mallia J. 33. Sciberras B. 9. Winchester R. 88. Xuereb Pavia D.	5. Delia G. 21. England W. 6. Galea N. 16. Kiala N. R. 1. Mifsud S. (G) 3. Tanti C. P. 18. Torreggiani T. C. 9. Vella A. 24. Zivkovic A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Correa Duarte R. C. ⚽,
45', Giordimaina C. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mifsud M. ↓, Beu E. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Galliano M. ⚽,
64', Iury ↓, Winchester R. ↑,
74', Camilleri D. ↓, Zivkovic A. ↑,
80', Jackson K. 🟨,
88', Sultana N. ↓, Torreggiani T. C. ↑,
88', Galliano M. ↓, England W. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lija won 3.

Lija has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches St. Andrews is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lija could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

St. Andrews will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Lija won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7:8 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Lija won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lija Athletic
Maltese Challenge League
22.02.25	Mtarfa - Lija Athletic	2:1 ✺
16.02.25	Lija Athletic - Sirens	1:2 ✺
08.02.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Lija Athletic	3:1 ✺
01.02.25	Lija Athletic - Fgura United	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	Mġarr United - Lija Athletic	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLLLT
- St. Andrews FC
Maltese Challenge League
23.02.25	St. Andrews - Senglea Athletic	1:0 ✺
16.02.25	Fgura United - St. Andrews	0:1 ✺
08.02.25	St. Andrews - Swieqi United	3:4 ✺
01.02.25	St. Andrews - Pietà Hotspurs	1:3 ✺
26.01.25	Marsa - St. Andrews	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Challenge League
27.10.24	Lija Athletic - St. Andrews	1:0
23.09.23	St. Andrews - Lija Athletic	1:2
08.10.22	St. Andrews - Lija Athletic	0:2
14.12.19	Lija Athletic - St. Andrews	0:1
Maltese Premier League
07.04.18	Lija Athletic - St. Andrews	1:2
18.11.17	St. Andrews - Lija Athletic	1:1
Maltese Summer Cup
01.08.17	St. Andrews - Lija Athletic	3:0

Lija Athletic - St. Andrews: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide