Match Info

SCOTLAND: Premiership - Round 27

Date: 23 February 2025, Sunday

Location: McDiarmid Park (Perth)

Referee: Scott C. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Disney+


	St. Johnstone		Hearts

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.5	1.85	Watch
	4	3.6	1.9	Watch
	4.09	3.66	1.93
	3.99	3.61	1.91	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.95
	3.97	3.66	1.9	Watch
	4	3.6	1.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.02 ↓ (4.5)	3.59 ↑ (3.55)	1.91 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Johnstone
23.6%

Draw
26.5%

Hearts
49.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21%

26.6%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.6%

26.1%

53.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Johnstone has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Hearts has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Johnstone than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hearts than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.4%	11.8%	58.8%

St. Johnstone - Hearts Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. St. Johnstone will win (votes: 5 - 29.4%). Hearts will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Hearts: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fisher A. (G) 4. Balodis D. 2. Mikulic B. 30. Douglas B. 37. Curtis S. 23. Sprangler S. (C) 44. Watt E. 14. Wright D. 11. Carey G. 8. Svedberg J. 16. Sidibeh A.	1. Gordon C. (G) 35. Forrester A. 15. Steinwender M. 30. McCart J. 29. Penrice J. 7. Grant J. 6. Baningime B. 16. Spittal B. 9. Shankland L. 19. Kabangu E. (C) 21. Wilson J.
Substitutes
10. Clark N. 21. Duke-McKenna S. 7. Holt J. 27. Kirk M. 24. McPake J. 5. Mitchell Z. 20. Sinclair R. (G) 22. Smith M. 19. Steven T.	28. Clark Z. (G) 37. Drammeh M. 17. Forrest A. 27. Kartum S. 18. Milne H. 23. Neilson L. 8. Nieuwenhof C. 82. Taylor Dosman G. G. 77. Vargas K.
Coaches
Valakari S.	Critchley N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
36', 0 - 1, Kabangu E. ⚽, Shankland L. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Watt E. ↓, Duke-McKenna S. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Sidibeh A. ⚽, Carey G. (A),
57', 1 - 2, Kabangu E. ⚽, Shankland L. (A),
61', Penrice J. 🟨,
65', Grant J. ↓, Kartum S. ↑,
65', Forrester A. ↓, Taylor Dosman G. G. ↑,
71', Svedberg J. ↓, Mitchell Z. ↑,
71', Curtis S. ↓, Kirk M. ↑,
73', Spittal B. ↓, Drammeh M. ↑,
73', Wilson J. ↓, Nieuwenhof C. ↑,
77', Sidibeh A. ↓, Steven T. ↑,
89', Shankland L. ↓, Forrest A. ↑,
90+1', Taylor Dosman G. G. 🟨,
90+5', Kabangu E. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 12 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: ) and 10 in the zone Premiership (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 0.

At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.

St. Johnstone could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Hearts will have a poor advantage in this game.

There will not play in St. Johnstone: Ikpeazu U. (Injury) MacPherson C. (Injury) McClelland S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Hearts: Halkett C. (Injury) Kent F. (Muscle Injury) Kingsley S. (Injury)

There are questionable in St. Johnstone: Griffith V. (Injury)

There are questionable in Hearts: Devlin C. (Injury)

Last 20 head-to-head matches St. Johnstone won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 17:34 (average 0.9:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams St. Johnstone won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.2:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Johnstone FC
Scottish Premier League
15.02.25	Kilmarnock - St. Johnstone	3:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
08.02.25	St. Johnstone - Hamilton Academical	1:0 ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.02.25	St. Mirren - St. Johnstone	0:1 ✺
25.01.25	St. Johnstone - Motherwell	2:1 ✺
Scottish Cup
18.01.25	St. Johnstone - Motherwell	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.5 LWWWW
- Heart of Midlothian
Scottish Premier League
16.02.25	Hearts - Glasgow Rangers	1:3 ✺
Scottish Cup
10.02.25	St. Mirren - Hearts	1:2 penalties ✺
Scottish Premier League
01.02.25	Dundee - Hearts	0:6 ✺
25.01.25	Hearts - Kilmarnock	3:2 ✺
Scottish Cup
17.01.25	Brechin City - Hearts	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Scottish Premier League
22.12.24	Hearts - St. Johnstone	2:1
02.11.24	St. Johnstone - Hearts	1:2
07.02.24	St. Johnstone - Hearts	0:1
25.11.23	Hearts - St. Johnstone	1:0
05.08.23	St. Johnstone - Hearts	0:2
04.03.23	Hearts - St. Johnstone	3:0
28.12.22	St. Johnstone - Hearts	2:3

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