Match Info

USA: MLS

Date: 23 March 2024, Saturday

Location: CITYPARK (St. Louis, MO)


	St. Louis City		DC United

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	4	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.6
	1.95	3.75	3.6	Watch
	1.9	3.87	4.01
	1.9	3.87	4.01
	1.85	3.75	3.75
	1.9	3.88	3.74	Watch
	1.9	3.7	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↓ (2.09)	3.75 ↑ (3.64)	3.81 ↑ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Louis City
49.8%

Draw
25.3%

DC United
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.3%

26%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9%

25.7%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Louis City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.5%)

DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
64.3%	21.4%	14.3%

St. Louis City - DC United Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). DC United will win (votes: 2 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 21.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 39.2% – 89.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (G) 14. Totland T. 15. Yaro J. 4. Nilsson J. 44. Dyhr N. 19. Vassilev I. 8. Durkin C. 7. Ostrak T. 25. Jackson A. 9. Joao Klauss 16. Adeniran S.	24. Bono A. (G) 8. Stroud J. 12. Antley C. 3. Bartlett L. 97. McVey C. 25. Hopkins J. 43. Klich M. 21. Ku-DiPietro T. 10. Gabriel Pirani 11. Dajome C. 20. Benteke C.
Substitutes
21. Alm R. 6. Blom N. 22. Hiebert K. 39. Lundt B. (G) 13. Markanich A. 2. Nerwinski J. 12. Pompeu C. 29. Thorisson N. 20. Watts A.	26. Crockford N. (G) 5. Jeahze M. 17. Murrell J. 14. Rodriguez M. 30. Sargis H. 56. Zamudio L. (G)
Coaches
Carnell B.	Lesesne T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Yaro J. ⚽, Vassilev I. (A),
21', 1 - 1, Ku-DiPietro T. ⚽, Benteke C. (A),
24', Hopkins J. 🟨,
38', 1 - 2, Benteke C. ⚽, Stroud J. (A),
43', Nilsson J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Vassilev I. ↓, Pompeu C. ↑,
57', Dyhr N. ↓, Markanich A. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Joao Klauss (Pen),
71', Ostrak T. ↓, Alm R. ↑,
71', Stroud J. ↓, Murrell J. ↑,
73', Durkin C. 🟨,
81', Jackson A. ↓, Blom N. ↑,
81', Adeniran S. ↓, Thorisson N. ↑,
82', Ku-DiPietro T. 🟨,
88', Gabriel Pirani 🟨,
90+7', Gabriel Pirani ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
90+11', Ku-DiPietro T. ↓, Jeahze M. ↑,
90+12', Blom N. 🟨,
90+13', Murrell J. 🟨,
90+14', Alm R. 🟨,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

St. Louis City will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in St. Louis City: Blom N. (Injury)

There will not play in DC United: Birnbaum S. (Injury) Miller T. (Injury) Santos P. (Red Card) Tubbs G. (Injury)

There are questionable in DC United: Canouse R. (Injury) Ku-DiPietro T. (Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Louis City SC
MLS
16.03.24	Los Angeles Galaxy - St. Louis City	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Austin FC - St. Louis City	2:2 ✺
02.03.24	St. Louis City - New York City	2:0 ✺
CONCACAF Champions Cup
27.02.24	Houston Dynamo - St. Louis City	1:0 ✺
MLS
24.02.24	St. Louis City - Real Salt Lake	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTWLT
- DC United
MLS
16.03.24	DC United - Inter Miami	1:3 ✺
10.03.24	Cincinnati - DC United	0:0 ✺
02.03.24	Portland Timbers - DC United	2:2 ✺
24.02.24	DC United - New England Revolution	3:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.02.24	Al-Ettifaq Dammam - DC United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 LTTWL

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