Match Info

MLS Next Pro

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: PayPal Park (San Jose, CA)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro, SportsEngine Play
World	OneFootball TV


	San Jose Earthquakes 2		St. Louis City 2

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.35	3.40	2.50
	2.38	3.45	2.43
	2.48	3.60	2.74
	2.49	3.31	2.74	Watch
	2.45	3.20	2.70
	2.40	3.14	2.65	Watch
	2.38	3.45	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.42 ↑ (2.38)	3.36 ↓ (3.45)	2.62 ↑ (2.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Jose Earthquakes 2
37.8%

Draw
27.2%

St. Louis City 2
35%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.5%

25.8%

36.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

25%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Jose Earthquakes 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

St. Louis City 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Jose Earthquakes 2 than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Crockford N. (G) 73. Heisner J. 66. Cano A. 71. Dossmann N. 74. Kwende M. 21. Buck N. 38. Mendoza E. 58. Bracken Serra G. 90. Bohane Z. 77. Spivey J. 99. de Flores S.	34. Welsh C. (G) 57. Jorgensen O. 66. Lillington Z. 98. De Gannes A. 85. Ota Y. 63. Clancy T. 88. McDonald P. 91. Zengue Z. 33. Pearce T. 49. Pickering N. 48. Lynch R.
Substitutes
97. Boyce W. 52. Donnery J. 91. Lambe C. (G) 62. Lorenti D. 35. Rajagopal R. 29. Spivey K. 50. Torres J.	62. Barclay J. 79. Chavez E. 83. Cornelius L. 54. Gbadehan A. 68. Jundt A. 50. Martinez N. (G) 43. Paris S. 41. Pearson C. 44. Wagoner J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Pickering N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', de Flores S. ↓, Donnery J. ↑,
46', Ota Y. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
54', 0 - 2, Pickering N. ⚽, De Gannes A. (A),
56', Zengue Z. 🟨,
59', McDonald P. ↓, Wagoner J. ↑,
70', Heisner J. ↓, Lorenti D. ↑,
70', Bracken Serra G. ↓, Spivey K. ↑,
70', Spivey J. ↓, Boyce W. ↑,
75', Pearce T. ↓, Paris S. ↑,
84', Clancy T. ↓, Gbadehan A. ↑,
84', Pickering N. ↓, Jundt A. ↑,
85', Mendoza E. ↓, Torres J. ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

San Jose 2 has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

St. Louis City 2's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, San Jose 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1.8:2.3).

Including home matches between the teams, San Jose 2 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- San Jose Earthquakes 2
MLS Next Pro
08.08.26	Minnesota United 2 - San Jose Earthquakes 2	1:2 penalties ✺
02.08.26	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Austin II	1:2 penalties ✺
25.07.26	Ventura County - San Jose Earthquakes 2	3:0 ✺
18.07.26	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - North Texas	0:1 ✺
12.07.26	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - Tacoma Defiance	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL
- St. Louis City 2
MLS Next Pro
08.08.26	Colorado Rapids 2 - St. Louis City 2	0:1 penalties ✺
02.08.26	St. Louis City 2 - Real Monarchs	3:0 ✺
26.07.26	St. Louis City 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2	1:2 penalties ✺
18.07.26	St. Louis City 2 - Portland Timbers 2	1:2 ✺
11.07.26	Houston Dynamo 2 - St. Louis City 2	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

MLS Next Pro
01.10.23	St. Louis City 2 - San Jose Earthquakes 2	0:2
27.08.23	St. Louis City 2 - San Jose Earthquakes 2	3:1
23.07.23	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - St. Louis City 2	2:1 penalties
21.08.22	San Jose Earthquakes 2 - St. Louis City 2	2:5

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