The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 2 60.7%
Draw 21.6%
Ventura County 17.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60.2%
20.9%
18.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
63.2%
19.9%
18%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
Ventura County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City 2 than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventura County than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
St. Louis City 2 - Ventura County Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
34. Welsh C. (G) 22. Hiebert K. 66. Lillington Z. 41. Pearson C. (C) 48. Lynch R. 44. Wagoner J. 98. De Gannes A. 62. Barclay J. 26. Forcellini C. 42. Ault P. 88. McDonald P.
31. Scott B. (G) 73. Martinez E. 64. Pepe 50. Dalgado R. 88. Vanney M. 66. Tsakiris M. 47. Vilamitjana A. 92. Luna I. 45. Garcia V. 75. Medina A. 49. Vanney D.
Substitutes
73. Carlock E. 83. Cornelius L. 54. Gbadehan A. 46. Glover C. 50. Martinez N. (G) 52. McPartlin L. (G) 43. Paris S.
87. Arnold G. 61. Gozdieski C. 60. Hernandez S. 95. Preston E. 42. Rhodes J. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Barclay J. ⚽, Lynch R. (A),
27', McDonald P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Vilamitjana A. ↓, Arnold G. ↑,
56', 2 - 0, Lynch R. ⚽, Ault P. (A),
60', Medina A. ↓, Preston E. ↑,
61', 2 - 1, Vanney D. ⚽, Arnold G. (A),
63', Barclay J. ↓, Carlock E. ↑,
68', Dalgado R. ↓, Gozdieski C. ↑,
71', Tsakiris M. 🟨,
82', McDonald P. ↓, Gbadehan A. ↑,
90', Forcellini C. ↓, Cornelius L. ↑,
90', Ault P. ↓, Glover C. ↑,
Preview
One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 4.
St. Louis City 2 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Ventura County's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Ventura County may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, St. Louis City 2 is considered a favorite.
We predict that St. Louis City 2 will win today's game, with odds of 1.55.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City 2 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2.3:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
World
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Welsh C. (G) 
Hiebert K. 
Pearson C. (C) 
De Gannes A. 
Vilamitjana A. 
Gbadehan A. 
Paris S. 
Arnold G. 
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