Match Info

WORLD: Club Friendly

Date: 9 August 2024, Friday

Location: Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Norway	VG+
Portugal	Sport TV3
Russia	Okko Sport
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN+, FuboTV


	St. Pauli		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	4.5	4.2	1.53
	5	4.2	1.47
	5.8	4.7	1.54
	5.03	4.8	1.52	Watch
	5.25	4.45	1.57	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.12 ↑ (3.21)	4.47 ↑ (3.76)	1.53 ↓ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
18.2%

Draw
20.8%

Atalanta
61%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

24.5%

46.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that St. Pauli's form might have worsened.

Atalanta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Atalanta's recent form is better than expected.

St. Pauli - Atalanta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Vasilj N. (G) 5. Wahl H. 3. Mets K. 8. Smith E. 14. Stevens F. 7. Irvine J. (C) 39. Wagner R. 23. Treu P. 24. Metcalfe C. 11. Eggestein J. 29. Guilavogui M.	1. Musso J. (G) 23. Kolasinac S. 19. Djimsiti B. 15. De Roon M. (C) 77. Zappacosta D. 13. Ederson 8. Pasalic M. 22. Ruggeri M. 10. Toure E. B. 17. De Ketelaere C. 11. Lookman A.
Substitutes
17. Afolayan O. 20. Ahlstrand E. 19. Albers A. 18. Banks S. 16. Boukhalfa C. 25. Dzwigala A. 4. Nemeth D. 21. Ritzka L. 26. Saad E. 36. Schmitz M. 10. Sinani D. 1. Voll B. A. (G)	20. Bakker M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 25. Cassa F. 5. Gottfey M. 4. Hien I. 44. Manzoni A. 27. Palestra M. 32. Retegui M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 6. Sulemana I. 2. Toloi R.
Coaches
Blessin A.	Gasperini G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Metcalfe C. ↓, Boukhalfa C. ↑,
46', Djimsiti B. ↓, Hien I. ↑,
46', Toure E. B. ↓, Retegui M. ↑,
58', 1 - 0, Eggestein J. ⚽, Smith E. (A),
63', Guilavogui M. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
63', Stevens F. ↓, Banks S. ↑,
63', Wahl H. ↓, Dzwigala A. ↑,
68', 2 - 0, Afolayan O. ⚽,
70', 3 - 0, Boukhalfa C. ⚽, Afolayan O. (A),
72', Kolasinac S. ↓, Palestra M. ↑,
72', Zappacosta D. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,
72', Ederson ↓, Bakker M. ↑,
72', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Godfrey B. ↑,
72', Pasalic M. ↓, Sulemana I. ↑,
72', Eggestein J. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
73', Wagner R. ↓, Saad E. ↑,
73', Irvine J. ↓, Sinani D. ↑,
73', Smith E. ↓, Nemeth D. ↑,
76', Toloi R. 🟨,
78', De Roon M. ↓, Manzoni A. ↑,
78', Treu P. ↓, Ritzka L. ↑,
78', Ruggeri M. ↓, Cassa F. ↑,
78', Lookman A. ↓, Vavassori D. ↑,
78', Musso J. ↓, Carnesecchi M. ↑,
85', 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches St. Pauli is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

St. Pauli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently St. Pauli have a series of guest games.

In this match Atalanta is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Norwich City - St. Pauli	1:3 ✺
24.07.24	St. Pauli - Lyon	1:0 ✺
24.07.24	Slaven Belupo - St. Pauli	Canceled ✺
19.07.24	Greuther Fürth - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
13.07.24	Bremer SV - St. Pauli	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WW?LW
- Atalanta
Club Friendly
04.08.24	Parma - Atalanta	4:1 ✺
27.07.24	AZ Alkmaar - Atalanta	2:2 ✺
Italian Serie A
02.06.24	Atalanta - Fiorentina	2:3 ✺
26.05.24	Atalanta - Torino	3:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
22.05.24	Atalanta - Bayer Leverkusen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 LTLWW

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