Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 22 May 2024, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aviva Stadium (Dublin) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Kovacs I. (Rou)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	SuperSport
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Sport
Belgium	21:00	RTBF, VRT Canvas
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport
Brazil	16:00	ESPN
Bulgaria	22:00	BTV Action, Max Sport 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CT sport
Denmark	21:00	TV2
Finland	22:00	Viaplay, V Sport
France	21:00	C+ France
Germany	21:00	RTL
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno
Netherlands	21:00	ESPN
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Poland	21:00	Viaplay
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport
Sweden	21:00	TV6, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
United Kingdom	20:00	TNT Sports
International	19:00	SportsMax


	Atalanta		Bayer Leverkusen

	1	X	2
	4.2	3.75	1.8
	4.33	3.7	1.8
	4.45	3.75	1.82
	4.59	3.79	1.82
	4.56	3.79	1.83
	4.33	3.8	1.8
	4.62	3.92	1.84
	4.45	3.7	1.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (4.34)	3.78 ↓ (3.8)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atalanta
21.6%

Draw
25.4%

Bayer Leverkusen
52.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

22.1%

25.2%

52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.5%

25.9%

54.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Bayer Leverkusen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bayer Leverkusen than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.6%	11.4%	79%

Atalanta - Bayer Leverkusen Predictions

Users Predictions: Bayer Leverkusen will win (132 of 165 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.9% – 86.1%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Musso J. (G) 19. Djimsiti B. (C) 4. Hien I. 23. Kolasinac S. 77. Zappacosta D. 13. Ederson 7. Koopmeiners T. 22. Ruggeri M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 90. Scamacca G. 11. Lookman A.	17. Kovar M. (G) 2. Stanisic J. 4. Tah J. (C) 12. Tapsoba E. 30. Frimpong J. 34. Xhaka G. 25. Palacios E. 3. Hincapie P. 10. Wirtz F. 20. Grimaldo A. 21. Adli A.
Substitutes
25. Adopo M. 20. Bakker M. 29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 15. De Roon M. 33. Hateboer H. 3. Holm E. 59. Miranchuk Al. 8. Pasalic M. 31. Rossi F. (G) 42. Scalvini G. 2. Toloi R. 10. Toure E. B.	8. Andrich R. 13. Arthur 22. Boniface V. 23. Hlozek A. 7. Hofmann J. 1. Hradecky L. (G) 9. Iglesias B. 6. Kossounou O. 36. Lomb N. (G) 32. Puerta G. 14. Schick P. 19. Tella N.
Coaches
Gasperini G.	Alonso X.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, Zappacosta D. (A),
22', Djimsiti B. 🟨,
26', 2 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽,
35', Scamacca G. 🟨,
35', Wirtz F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Stanisic J. ↓, Boniface V. ↑,
46', Kolasinac S. ↓, Scalvini G. ↑,
57', De Ketelaere C. ↓, Pasalic M. ↑,
60', Zappacosta D. 🟨,
67', Tapsoba E. 🟨,
68', Palacios E. ↓, Andrich R. ↑,
68', Grimaldo A. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
70', Koopmeiners T. 🟨,
73', Andrich R. 🟨,
75', 3 - 0, Lookman A. ⚽, Scamacca G. (A),
81', Wirtz F. ↓, Schick P. ↑,
81', Frimpong J. ↓, Tella N. ↑,
84', Scamacca G. ↓, Toure E. B. ↑,
84', Zappacosta D. ↓, Hateboer H. ↑,
90+1', Ruggeri M. ↓, Toloi R. ↑,

Preview

Neutral location - Aviva Stadium.

Atalanta is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayer in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Bayer could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Bayer is a favorite.

There will not play in Atalanta: De Roon M. (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Holm E. (Calf Injury)

Last 2 head-to-head matches Atalanta won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Atalanta won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
18.05.24	Lecce - Atalanta	0:2 ✺
Coppa Italia
15.05.24	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.05.24	Atalanta - Roma	2:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.05.24	Atalanta - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
06.05.24	Salernitana - Atalanta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW
- Bayer Leverkusen
German Bundesliga
18.05.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Augsburg	2:1 ✺
12.05.24	Bochum - Bayer Leverkusen	0:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
09.05.24	Bayer Leverkusen - Roma	2:2 ✺
German Bundesliga
05.05.24	Eintracht Frankfurt - Bayer Leverkusen	1:5 ✺
UEFA Europa League
02.05.24	Roma - Bayer Leverkusen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 WWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
17.03.22	Bayer Leverkusen - Atalanta	0:1
10.03.22	Atalanta - Bayer Leverkusen	3:2

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