Match Info

Date: 17 April 2021, Saturday


	St. Pauli		Würzburger Kickers

	1	X	2
	1.6	4	5.5	Watch
	1.62	4.2	5.25	Watch
	1.61	4.2	4.9
	1.64	4.1	4.6
	1.69	4.22	4.94
	1.62	4	5
	1.64	4.3	4.85	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (1.64)	4.15 ↑ (4.11)	5.01 ↑ (4.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Pauli
58.2%

Draw
22.9%

Würzburger Kickers
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.8%

23%

19.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.3%

18.4%

15.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Pauli has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Würzburger Kickers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+14.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for St. Pauli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Würzburger Kickers than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.7%	8.5%	11.9%

St. Pauli - Würzburger Kickers Predictions

Users Predictions: St. Pauli will win (47 of 59 users predict this - 79.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 69.39% – 89.93%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation to 3. Liga).

St. Pauli has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Würzburger Kickers has a good chance of relegated (94%), has not chance of promoted.

St. Pauli is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Würzburger Kickers is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

St. Pauli could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match St. Pauli is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-2.

Including matches at home between the teams St. Pauli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.21	Erzgebirge Aue - St. Pauli	1:3 ✺
05.04.21	St. Pauli - Eintracht Braunschweig	2:0 ✺
21.03.21	Osnabrück - St. Pauli	1:2 ✺
15.03.21	St. Pauli - Paderborn	0:2 ✺
06.03.21	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WWWLT
- Würzburger Kickers
German 2 Bundesliga
11.04.21	Würzburger Kickers - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
08.04.21	Hannover - Würzburger Kickers	1:2 ✺
04.04.21	Sandhausen - Würzburger Kickers	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
25.03.21	Stuttgart - Würzburger Kickers	3:0
German 2 Bundesliga
21.03.21	Würzburger Kickers - Jahn Regensburg	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
06.01.21	Würzburger Kickers - St. Pauli	1:1
16.04.17	St. Pauli - Würzburger Kickers	1:0
07.11.16	Würzburger Kickers - St. Pauli	1:0

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