The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Pauli 55%
Draw 22.4%
Karlsruher 22.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.4%
22.4%
22.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.2%
21.7%
21.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Karlsruher has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (-1%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
St. Pauli - Karlsruher Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Preview
Important points are at stake as a mid-tier club meets a struggling opponent (ranked 8th and 14th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Pauli won 2.
St. Pauli has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Karlsruher has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Karlsruher could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, St. Pauli is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, St. Pauli has recorded 7 wins, 7 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:30 (averaging 1.7:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for St. Pauli against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, with 21:17 goals (averaging 1.9:1.5 per game).
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