Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday

Location: BBBank Wildpark (Karlsruhe)

Referee: Bacher M. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Croatia	SportKlub
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
Germany	Sky Sport Top event, Sport 1
Hungary	Arena 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	Eleven Sports 2
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub, Sport TV
Sweden	Viaplay


	Karlsruher		St. Pauli

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.38	Watch
	2.85	3.4	2.4
	2.9	3.3	2.35	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.42
	3.05	3.41	2.43
	2.75	3.5	2.3
	2.88	3.55	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.45	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.94 ↑ (2.94)	3.43 ↓ (3.66)	2.38 ↑ (2.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Karlsruher
32.4%

Draw
27.7%

St. Pauli
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

26%

41.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

26.2%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Karlsruher have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

St. Pauli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Karlsruher than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Pauli than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

Karlsruher - St. Pauli Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Karlsruher will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). St. Pauli will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for St. Pauli: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Drewes P. (G) 2. Jung S. 28. Franke M. 4. Beifus M. 20. Herold D. 26. Nebel P. 8. Gondorf J. 6. Jensen L. 10. Wanitzek M. 9. Matanovic I. 11. Zivzivadze B.	22. Vasilj N. (G) 25. Dzwigala A. 5. Wahl H. 3. Mets K. 2. Saliakas M. 7. Irvine J. 36. Kemlein A. 21. Ritzka L. 26. Saad E. 10. Hartel M. 11. Eggestein J.
Substitutes
18. Brosinski D. 15. Burnic D. 16. Heise P. 22. Kobald C. 17. Rapp N. 24. Schleusener F. 13. Stindl L. 21. Thiede M. 29. Weiss M. (G)	17. Afolayan O. 19. Albers A. 14. Amenyido E. 30. Burchert S. (G) 35. da Silva Moreira E. 9. Maurides 4. Nemeth D. 32. Scheller T. 15. Sinani D.
Coaches
Eichner C.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Franke M. ⚽,
18', Franke M. 🟨,
24', Wahl H. 🟨,
37', 1 - 1, Irvine J. ⚽, Hartel M. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
67', Jensen L. ↓, Burnic D. ↑,
67', Zivzivadze B. ↓, Schleusener F. ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Nebel P. ⚽,
70', Kemlein A. ↓, Amenyido E. ↑,
70', Saad E. ↓, Afolayan O. ↑,
77', Wahl H. 🟨,
79', Gondorf J. 🟨,
85', Ritzka L. ↓, Albers A. ↑,
90', Eggestein J. ↓, Maurides ↑,
90+1', Nebel P. ↓, Stindl L. ↑,
90+2', Gondorf J. ↓, Rapp N. ↑,
90+3', Stindl L. 🟨,
90+5', Drewes P. 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 0.

Now both teams are in good shape.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Karlsruher won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 27-26.

Including matches at home between the teams Karlsruher won 1 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-11.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Karlsruher SC
German 2 Bundesliga
31.03.24	Schalke 04 - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
21.03.24	Heidenheim - Karlsruher	0:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
17.03.24	Karlsruher - Magdeburg	7:0 ✺
09.03.24	Holstein Kiel - Karlsruher	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Karlsruher - Greuther Fürth	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TWWLW
- FC St. Pauli
German 2 Bundesliga
31.03.24	St. Pauli - Paderborn	2:1 ✺
16.03.24	Nürnberg - St. Pauli	0:2 ✺
10.03.24	St. Pauli - Hertha Berlin	2:0 ✺
01.03.24	Schalke 04 - St. Pauli	3:1 ✺
23.02.24	Holstein Kiel - St. Pauli	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
28.10.23	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	2:1
28.05.23	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	1:1
12.11.22	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	4:4
05.03.22	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	3:1
25.09.21	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	1:3
06.03.21	Karlsruher - St. Pauli	0:0
08.11.20	St. Pauli - Karlsruher	0:3

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