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Current Win Probability
Stabæk 32.2%
Draw 24.3%
Kristiansund 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.6%
27.1%
38.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.8%
26.5%
39.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Stabæk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
Kristiansund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kristiansund's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Stabæk than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kristiansund than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30.8%
23.1%
46.2%
Stabæk - Kristiansund Predictions
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Stabæk will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). Kristiansund will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Kristiansund: 19.1% – 73.3%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 1.25, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
DNB - Kristiansund (1.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kristiansund will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Kristiansund (votes: 7 - 87.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rossbach S. (G) 19. Riise F. 2. Pedersen K. 4. Naess N. (C) 5. Skjelvik J. 17. Olderheim S. 27. Danso E. 28. Isaksen J. 30. Ellegaard F. 8. Lankhof-Dahlby M. 11. Spiten-Nysaeter O.
26. Skjaerstein A. (G) 22. Hoffmann I. 4. Olsen M. 5. Ulvestad D. (C) 15. Rakneberg M. 18. Odegard N. 20. Igor W. 8. Alte R. 16. Tufekcic D. 7. Isah M. 9. Kilen S.
Substitutes
20. Andresen A. 9. Diabate B. 29. Ekorness K. 10. Geelmuyden H. 12. Gunnerod L. (G) 6. Matic A. 14. Nielsen M. 21. Onsrud K. 22. Opseth K.
24. Alemseged A. 10. Corlu R. 3. Flex F. 33. Haugen H. 25. Ndour A. 11. Nyenetue F. 40. Rod S. (G) 17. Williamsen M.
Coaches
Walemark J.
Skiri A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Lankhof-Dahlby M. ⚽, Spiten-Nysaeter O. (A),
15', Igor W. 🟨,
24', Hoffmann I. 🟨,
27', 1 - 1, Odegard N. ⚽, Alte R. (A),
34', Igor W. 🟨,
39', Isaksen J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Hoffmann I. ↓, Williamsen M. ↑,
52', Danso E. 🟨,
62', 2 - 1, Spiten-Nysaeter O. ⚽, Ellegaard F. (A),
63', 2 - 2, Tufekcic D. ⚽, Isah M. (A),
72', Kilen S. ↓, Ndour A. ↑,
72', Tufekcic D. ↓, Corlu R. ↑,
79', Danso E. ↓, Matic A. ↑,
79', Skjelvik J. ↓, Andresen A. ↑,
79', Ellegaard F. ↓, Diabate B. ↑,
83', Lankhof-Dahlby M. 🟨,
86', Isaksen J. ↓, Onsrud K. ↑,
86', Lankhof-Dahlby M. ↓, Geelmuyden H. ↑,
90', Riise F. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
91', Pedersen K. ↓, Nielsen M. ↑,
91', Odegard N. ↓, Haugen H. ↑,
96', Rakneberg M. ↓, Flex F. ↑,
108', Williamsen M. ↓, Alemseged A. ↑,
Penalties (1 - 4)
1, Ndour A. (Pen),
1, Naess N. (Pen),
2, Corlu R. (Pen),
2, Geelmuyden H. (Pen),
3, Isah M. (Pen),
3, Onsrud K. (Pen),
4, Alemseged A. (Pen),
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 3.
Stabæk has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Kristiansund has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kristiansund may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Stabæk won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 16:16. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Stabæk won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.3:1.2).
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Rossbach S. (G) 
Pedersen K. 
Danso E. 
Hoffmann I. 
Igor W. 
Diabate B. 
Matic A. 
Ndour A. 
Walemark J. 
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